The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 13 slate, 1988

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 45 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 6

Wilder than 6% of weeks in the archive.

8 upsets against 11.2 expected

  • Biggest shockUtah over BYU21% chance · won 57-28
  • Runner-upCalifornia over Stanford25% chance · won 19-19
  • Runner-upArkansas State over Louisiana29% chance · won 38-21

Upsets

Sat, Nov 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 39 games

Final
Texas@Baylor
37%
63%
14
17
✓
BAY −4.6
–
–
Final
Army@Boston College
39%
61%
24
38
✓
BC −4.1
–
–
Final
Utah State@Cal State Fullerton
27%
73%
13
23
✓
Cal State Fullerton −9.4
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Miami (OH)
83%
17%
34
17
✓
CMU −15.9
–
–
Final
South Carolina@#14Clemson
21%
78%
10
29
✓
CLEM −12.2
–
–
Final
Kansas State@#25Colorado
1.2%
99%
14
56
✓
COLO −36.1
–
–
Final
North Carolina@Duke
25%
75%
29
35
✓
DUKE −10.3
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Cincinnati
65%
35%
49
14
✓
ECU −6.8
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@Fresno State
3.2%
97%
3
31
✓
FRES −29.5
–
–
Final
#11Houston@Texas Tech
82%
18%
30
29
✓
HOU −15.0
–
–
Final
Northwestern@Illinois
14%
86%
9
14
✓
ILL −17.1
–
–
Final
Indiana@Purdue
86%
14%
52
7
✓
IU −17.3
–
–
Final
Iowa@Minnesota
76%
24%
31
22
✓
IOWA −11.7
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@Memphis
38%
62%
9
28
✓
MEM −4.4
–
–
Final
#1Miami (FL)@#16LSU
78%
22%
44
3
✓
MIA −12.6
–
–
Final
#9Michigan@Ohio State
84%
16%
34
31
✓
MICH −16.5
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@#19Michigan State
2.7%
97%
0
36
✓
MSU −30.7
–
–
Final
Missouri@Kansas
80%
20%
55
17
✓
MIZ −13.8
–
–
Final
#6Nebraska@#10Oklahoma
46%
54%
7
3
✗
OU −1.1
–
–
Final
#20Pittsburgh@NC StateUpset
62%
38%
3
14
✗
PITT −5.3
–
–
Final
Penn State@#4Notre Dame
11%
89%
3
21
✓
ND −19.3
–
–
Final
#13Oklahoma State@Iowa State
89%
11%
49
28
✓
OKST −19.9
–
–
Final
Oregon@Oregon State
59%
41%
10
21
✗
ORE −4.1
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@Pacific
33%
67%
20
21
✓
Pacific −6.5
–
–
Final
San Diego State@New Mexico
76%
24%
18
10
✓
SDSU −12.0
–
–
Final
San Jose State@UNLV
61%
39%
42
0
✓
SJSU −5.1
–
–
Final
#2USC@#5UCLA
49%
51%
31
22
✗
PK
–
–
Final
California@Stanford
25%
75%
19
19
✗
STAN −10.2
–
–
Final
Kentucky@Tennessee
51%
49%
24
28
✗
UK −0.9
–
–
Final
TCU@#23Texas A&M
12%
88%
0
18
✓
TA&M −18.1
–
–
Final
Air Force@UTEP
31%
68%
24
31
✓
UTEP −7.2
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Tulane
44%
56%
22
27
✓
TULN −2.1
–
–
Final
Temple@Tulsa
28%
72%
10
15
✓
TLSA −8.8
–
–
Final
#24BYU@UtahUpset
79%
21%
28
57
✗
BYU −13.6
–
–
Final
Maryland@Virginia
41%
59%
23
24
✓
UVA −3.0
–
–
Final
Washington@#22Washington State
31%
68%
31
32
✓
WSU −7.2
–
–
Final
#15Syracuse@#8West Virginia
26%
74%
9
31
✓
WVU −9.8
–
–
Final
Ohio@Western Michigan
12%
88%
16
23
✓
WMU −18.6
–
–
Final
#12Wyoming@Hawaii
81%
19%
28
22
✓
WYO −14.5
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Thu, Nov 17 · TBD Indiana State at Ball State Ball State −36.6 99%
Sat, Nov 19 · TBD Wake Forest at Appalachian State Wake Forest −3.7 58%
Sat, Nov 19 · TBD Arkansas State at Louisiana Louisiana −8.4 71%
Sat, Nov 19 · TBD North Texas at Rice North Texas −7.8 68%
Sat, Nov 19 · TBD Colgate at Rutgers Rutgers −31.1 98%
Sat, Nov 19 · TBD James Madison at Virginia Tech Virginia Tech −20.5 90%