The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 1988

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 17 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 42

Wilder than 42% of weeks in the archive.

8 upsets against 6.4 expected

  • Biggest shockWashington State over Houston36% chance · won 24-22
  • Runner-upMichigan over USC40% chance · won 22-14
  • Runner-upNC State over Iowa40% chance · won 28-23

Upsets

Sat, Dec 10

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Western MichiganvsFresno State
37%
63%
30
35
✓
FRES −4.9
–
–

Fri, Dec 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
UTEPvsSouthern Miss
56%
44%
18
38
✗
UTEP −3.1
–
–

Sat, Dec 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Armyvs#15Alabama
10.0%
90%
28
29
✓
ALA −20.1
–
–

Sun, Dec 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#12Houstonvs#22Washington State
64%
36%
22
24
✗
HOU −6.3
–
–

Wed, Dec 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
South Carolinavs#21Indiana
35%
65%
10
34
✓
IU −5.8
–
–

Thu, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
#23ColoradovsBYUUpset
56%
44%
17
20
✗
COLO −2.9
–
–
Final
IllinoisvsFlorida
39%
61%
10
14
✓
FLA −3.9
–
–

Fri, Dec 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#11Wyomingvs#14Oklahoma State
54%
46%
14
62
✗
WYO −2.2
–
–

Sat, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
IowavsNC State
60%
40%
23
28
✗
IOWA −4.6
–
–

Sun, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#18Michigan Statevs#20Georgia
52%
48%
27
34
✗
MSU −1.4
–
–

Mon, Jan 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 7 games

Final
#10Oklahomavs#13Clemson
56%
44%
6
13
✗
OU −2.8
–
–
Final
#7Auburnvs#2Florida State
37%
63%
7
13
✓
FSU −4.8
–
–
Final
#6Nebraskavs#1Miami (FL)
26%
74%
3
23
✓
MIA −9.9
–
–
Final
#9Michiganvs#4USC
40%
60%
22
14
✗
USC −3.7
–
–
Final
#5West Virginiavs#3Notre Dame
41%
59%
21
34
✓
ND −3.0
–
–
Final
#19LSUvs#17Syracuse
45%
55%
10
23
✓
SYR −1.7
–
–
Final
#16Arkansasvs#8UCLA
35%
65%
3
17
✓
UCLA −5.5
–
–