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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 9 slate, 1988

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 49 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 77

Wilder than 77% of weeks in the archive.

17 upsets against 13.1 expected

  • Biggest shockArizona State over Washington State13% chance · won 31-28
  • Runner-upOhio over Kent State13% chance · won 21-14
  • Runner-upVirginia over Wake Forest21% chance · won 34-14

Upsets

Sat, Oct 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 45 games

Final
Long Beach State@Akron
10.0%
90%
0
40
✓
AKR −20.1
–
–
Final
Penn State@#17Alabama
29%
71%
3
8
✓
ALA −8.3
–
–
Final
Arizona State@#18Washington StateUpset
13%
87%
31
28
✗
WSU −17.8
–
–
Final
#21Arkansas@#16Houston
36%
64%
26
21
✗
HOU −5.5
–
–
Final
Rutgers@Army
73%
27%
24
34
✗
RUTG −10.3
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@#8Auburn
3.5%
96%
0
33
✓
AUB −28.7
–
–
Final
Ball State@Central Michigan
35%
65%
27
20
✗
CMU −5.8
–
–
Final
#20BYU@Hawaii
65%
35%
24
23
✓
BYU −6.7
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@New Mexico State
55%
45%
24
3
✓
Cal State Fullerton −2.7
–
–
Final
Temple@California
15%
85%
14
31
✓
CAL −15.8
–
–
Final
San Diego State@Colorado State
40%
60%
7
13
✓
CSU −3.3
–
–
Final
Iowa@Purdue
70%
30%
31
7
✓
IOWA −9.0
–
–
Final
Kansas@Iowa State
13%
87%
14
42
✓
ISU −17.8
–
–
Final
#19Georgia@KentuckyUpset
51%
49%
10
16
✗
UGA −1.0
–
–
Final
Louisville@Tulane
47%
53%
38
35
✗
TULN −0.5
–
–
Final
Maryland@Duke
40%
60%
34
24
✗
DUKE −3.6
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@#1Miami (FL)
0.1%
>99%
3
57
✓
MIA −48.0
–
–
Final
#13Indiana@#10Michigan
33%
67%
6
31
✓
MICH −6.3
–
–
Final
Michigan State@Illinois
48%
52%
28
21
✗
ILL −0.5
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Vanderbilt
46%
54%
36
28
✗
VAN −0.9
–
–
Final
#3Nebraska@Kansas State
99%
0.6%
48
3
✓
NEB −40.9
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@North Carolina
61%
39%
17
20
✗
GT −5.1
–
–
Final
#15Clemson@NC StateUpset
57%
43%
3
10
✗
CLEM −3.3
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Northwestern
44%
56%
14
35
✓
NU −1.8
–
–
Final
Air Force@#2Notre Dame
9.1%
91%
13
41
✓
ND −20.9
–
–
Final
Ohio@Kent StateUpset
14%
86%
21
14
✗
KENT −17.2
–
–
Final
Ohio State@Minnesota
46%
54%
13
6
✗
MINN −1.2
–
–
Final
#6Oklahoma@Colorado
69%
31%
17
14
✓
OU −8.3
–
–
Final
Missouri@#11Oklahoma State
6.9%
93%
21
49
✓
OKST −23.4
–
–
Final
#25Washington@OregonUpset
41%
59%
14
17
✓
ORE −3.1
–
–
Final
Stanford@Oregon State
62%
38%
20
20
✓
STAN −5.5
–
–
Final
Navy@Pittsburgh
6.8%
93%
6
52
✓
PITT −23.5
–
–
Final
Utah State@San Jose State
8.8%
91%
31
36
✓
SJSU −21.2
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Louisiana
34%
66%
27
14
✗
UL −6.1
–
–
Final
#24Syracuse@East Carolina
83%
17%
38
14
✓
SYR −15.5
–
–
Final
Tennessee@Memphis
34%
66%
38
25
✗
MEM −6.3
–
–
Final
Rice@#23Texas A&M
3.7%
96%
10
24
✓
TA&M −28.2
–
–
Final
Baylor@TCU
50%
50%
14
24
✗
BAY −0.6
–
–
Final
UTEP@New Mexico
93%
7.3%
37
0
✓
UTEP −23.6
–
–
Final
Toledo@Miami (OH)
52%
48%
20
7
✓
TOL −1.3
–
–
Final
#5UCLA@#22Arizona
65%
35%
24
3
✓
UCLA −6.4
–
–
Final
Virginia@Wake ForestUpset
21%
79%
34
14
✗
WAKE −12.4
–
–
Final
Boston College@#9West Virginia
8.8%
91%
19
59
✓
WVU −21.2
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Eastern Michigan
54%
46%
31
24
✓
WMU −2.3
–
–
Final
Utah@#12Wyoming
2.9%
97%
18
61
✓
WYO −30.0
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 22 · TBD Youngstown State at Bowling Green Bowling Green −18.3 88%
Sat, Oct 22 · TBD Louisiana Tech at #7 Florida State Florida State −34.4 98%
Sat, Oct 22 · TBD Northern Illinois at Southern Illinois Northern Illinois −12.4 77%
Sat, Oct 22 · TBD Sacramento State at Pacific Sacramento State −3.9 58%