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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 2 slate, 1988

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 43 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3

Chaos 0

Wilder than 0% of weeks in the archive.

4 upsets against 10.2 expected

  • Biggest shockNorth Texas over Texas Tech32% chance · won 29-24
  • Runner-upWestern Michigan over Wisconsin36% chance · won 24-14
  • Runner-upHawaii over Iowa36% chance · won 27-24

Upsets

Thu, Sep 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
#15USC@Boston College
54%
46%
34
7
✓
USC −1.9
–
–
Final
BYU@Wyoming
36%
64%
14
24
✓
WYO −5.2
–
–

Sat, Sep 3

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 27 games

Final
Air Force@Colorado State
60%
40%
29
23
✓
AF −4.2
–
–
Final
Arizona@Oregon State
65%
35%
24
13
✓
ARIZ −6.6
–
–
Final
Pacific@#23Arkansas
5.0%
95%
14
63
✓
ARK −25.3
–
–
Final
Toledo@Ball State
41%
59%
3
13
✓
BALL −2.9
–
–
Final
UNLV@Baylor
27%
73%
3
27
✓
BAY −9.1
–
–
Final
Virginia Tech@#18Clemson
24%
76%
7
40
✓
CLEM −10.2
–
–
Final
Duke@Northwestern
53%
47%
31
21
✓
DUKE −1.8
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Eastern Michigan
36%
64%
17
24
✓
EMU −4.9
–
–
Final
Fresno State@New Mexico
60%
40%
68
21
✓
FRES −4.4
–
–
Final
#16Tennessee@#13Georgia
40%
60%
17
28
✓
UGA −3.2
–
–
Final
#17Iowa@HawaiiUpset
64%
36%
24
27
✗
IOWA −5.9
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Kentucky
26%
74%
7
18
✓
UK −9.5
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@Louisiana
13%
87%
9
24
✓
UL −16.7
–
–
Final
Texas A&M@#6LSU
17%
83%
0
27
✓
LSU −14.1
–
–
Final
Louisville@Maryland
26%
74%
16
27
✓
MD −9.3
–
–
Final
#3Florida State@#1Miami (FL)
21%
79%
0
31
✓
MIA −11.9
–
–
Final
Memphis@Ole Miss
42%
58%
6
24
✓
MISS −2.8
–
–
Final
Utah State@Nebraska
20%
80%
13
63
✓
NEB −12.4
–
–
Final
Akron@Northern Illinois
35%
65%
6
7
✓
NIU −5.5
–
–
Final
#22San Jose State@New Mexico State
84%
16%
51
0
✓
SJSU −15.9
–
–
Final
North Carolina@#8South Carolina
26%
74%
10
31
✓
SC −9.4
–
–
Final
Temple@#10Syracuse
18%
82%
21
31
✓
SYR −13.5
–
–
Final
Kansas State@Tulsa
30%
70%
9
35
✓
TLSA −7.8
–
–
Final
San Diego State@#4UCLA
15%
85%
6
59
✓
UCLA −15.6
–
–
Final
Washington State@Illinois
41%
59%
44
7
✗
ILL −3.1
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@#25West Virginia
23%
77%
14
62
✓
WVU −10.8
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Wisconsin
36%
64%
24
14
✗
WIS −5.1
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Boise State at Long Beach State Boise State −9.8 73%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Tennessee Tech at East Carolina East Carolina −36.3 99%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Montana State at #11 Florida Florida −47.7 >99%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Youngstown State at Kent State Kent State −20.4 91%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Louisiana Tech at Mississippi State Mississippi State −5.7 66%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD James Madison at Navy Navy −11.1 77%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Western Carolina at NC State NC State −24.9 95%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD North Texas at Texas Tech Texas Tech −6.7 68%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Northern Iowa at Pittsburgh Pittsburgh −30.0 97%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Stephen F. Austin at Southern Miss Southern Miss −24.2 94%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Mankato State at UTEP UTEP −25.2 95%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Chattanooga at Tulane Tulane −25.5 95%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD William & Mary at Virginia Virginia −26.7 96%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Wake Forest at Villanova Wake Forest −19.7 89%