The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 15 slate, 1996

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 14 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 40

Wilder than 40% of weeks in the archive.

4 upsets against 4.0 expected

  • Biggest shockMiami (FL) over Syracuse24% chance · won 38-31
  • Runner-upUSC over Notre Dame31% chance · won 27-20
  • Runner-upMississippi State over Ole Miss48% chance · won 17-0

Upsets

Thu, Nov 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Air Force@San Diego State
50%
50%
23
28
✗
AF −0.5
–
–

Fri, Nov 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 4 games

Final
LSU@Arkansas
73%
27%
17
7
✓
LSU −10.4
–
–
Final
#10Colorado@#1Nebraska
8.4%
92%
12
17
✓
NEB −21.7
–
–
Final
#22Texas A&M@#20Texas
36%
64%
15
51
✓
TEX −5.3
–
–
Final
#16Virginia@#17Virginia Tech
41%
59%
9
26
✓
VT −3.3
–
–

Sat, Nov 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 9 games

Final
NC State@East Carolina
14%
86%
29
50
✓
ECU −16.8
–
–
Final
#2Florida@#3Florida State
40%
60%
21
24
✓
FSU −3.6
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@Georgia
36%
64%
10
19
✓
UGA −5.2
–
–
Final
#19Miami (FL)@#7SyracuseUpset
24%
76%
38
31
✗
SYR −10.9
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Ole Miss
48%
52%
17
0
✗
MISS −0.4
–
–
Final
Rutgers@Pittsburgh
32%
68%
9
24
✓
PITT −6.8
–
–
Final
#6Notre Dame@USCUpset
69%
31%
20
27
✗
ND −8.5
–
–
Final
#9Tennessee@Vanderbilt
94%
5.8%
14
7
✓
TENN −25.6
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Hawaii
95%
4.8%
59
10
✓
WIS −27.1
–
–