The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 13 slate, 1996

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 48 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 72

Wilder than 72% of weeks in the archive.

10 upsets against 12.6 expected

  • Biggest shockUNLV over San Diego State3.3% chance · won 44-42
  • Runner-upMissouri over Baylor16% chance · won 49-42
  • Runner-upMississippi State over Alabama20% chance · won 17-16

Upsets

Thu, Nov 14

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Georgia Tech@Maryland
58%
42%
10
13
✗
GT −3.9
–
–

Sat, Nov 16

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 46 games

Final
Air Force@Fresno State
83%
17%
44
38
✓
AF −15.5
–
–
Final
UCLA@Arizona
44%
56%
17
35
✓
ARIZ −1.9
–
–
Final
Toledo@Ball State
16%
84%
14
24
✓
BALL −15.3
–
–
Final
Boise State@New Mexico State
52%
48%
33
32
✓
BOIS −1.5
–
–
Final
Temple@Boston College
20%
80%
20
21
✓
BC −12.8
–
–
Final
#17BYU@Hawaii
98%
2.0%
45
14
✓
BYU −33.1
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@UCF
38%
62%
19
27
✓
UCF −4.6
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@UAB
76%
24%
34
14
✓
CIN −11.9
–
–
Final
NC State@Clemson
28%
72%
17
40
✓
CLEM −8.8
–
–
Final
#12Kansas State@#10Colorado
39%
61%
0
12
✓
COLO −3.9
–
–
Final
Ohio@East Carolina
19%
81%
45
55
✓
ECU −13.6
–
–
Final
South Carolina@#3Florida
2.5%
98%
25
52
✓
FLA −31.1
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@#4Florida State
6.5%
94%
14
54
✓
FSU −23.9
–
–
Final
Georgia@AuburnUpset
21%
79%
56
49
✗
AUB −12.5
–
–
Final
Louisville@Houston
51%
49%
7
38
✗
LOU −0.8
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Iowa
43%
57%
0
31
✓
IOWA −2.2
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@Kentucky
47%
53%
0
25
✓
UK −0.6
–
–
Final
LSU@Ole Miss
71%
29%
39
7
✓
LSU −9.4
–
–
Final
Illinois@Minnesota
30%
70%
21
23
✓
MINN −7.9
–
–
Final
#19Alabama@Mississippi StateUpset
80%
20%
16
17
✗
ALA −14.1
–
–
Final
Missouri@BaylorUpset
16%
84%
49
42
✗
BAY −15.3
–
–
Final
Tulane@Navy
25%
75%
21
35
✓
NAVY −10.2
–
–
Final
#1Nebraska@Iowa State
99%
0.8%
49
14
✓
NEB −38.8
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@Nevada
7.3%
93%
14
66
✓
NEV −22.9
–
–
Final
San Diego State@UNLVUpset
97%
3.3%
42
44
✗
SDSU −29.8
–
–
Final
Idaho@North Texas
52%
48%
17
24
✗
Idaho −1.3
–
–
Final
Purdue@#24Northwestern
17%
83%
24
27
✓
NU −14.7
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@#7Notre Dame
1.5%
98%
6
60
✓
ND −34.7
–
–
Final
#2Ohio State@Indiana
98%
2.4%
27
17
✓
OSU −32.0
–
–
Final
California@Oregon
42%
58%
23
40
✓
ORE −2.9
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Oregon State
13%
87%
28
67
✓
ORST −17.4
–
–
Final
#9Penn State@#14Michigan
45%
55%
29
17
✗
MICH −1.5
–
–
Final
Rice@TCU
64%
36%
30
17
✓
RICE −6.2
–
–
Final
Washington State@Stanford
49%
51%
17
33
✓
WSU −0.2
–
–
Final
Army@#6Syracuse
17%
84%
17
42
✓
SYR −15.1
–
–
Final
Arkansas@#11Tennessee
5.3%
95%
14
55
✓
TENN −25.6
–
–
Final
#23Texas@Kansas
51%
49%
38
17
✓
TEX −0.9
–
–
Final
Oklahoma@#21Texas A&M
9.1%
91%
16
33
✓
TA&M −20.9
–
–
Final
Louisiana@#18Texas Tech
5.5%
94%
21
56
✓
TTU −25.2
–
–
Final
Tulsa@UTEP
60%
40%
38
21
✓
TLSA −4.3
–
–
Final
#5North Carolina@#16Virginia
55%
44%
17
20
✗
UNC −2.7
–
–
Final
#20Virginia Tech@#15Miami (FL)
33%
67%
21
7
✗
MIA −6.6
–
–
Final
Duke@Wake Forest
43%
57%
16
17
✓
WAKE −2.4
–
–
Final
San Jose State@#13Washington
0.4%
>99%
10
53
✓
WASH −42.2
–
–
Final
Kent State@Western Michigan
25%
75%
27
76
✓
WMU −10.4
–
–
Final
Wyoming@Colorado State
50%
50%
25
24
✓
WYO −0.6
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 16 · TBD Jacksonville State at Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe −1.2 54%