The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 1996

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 21 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 53

Wilder than 53% of weeks in the archive.

5 upsets against 6.7 expected

  • Biggest shockTexas over Nebraska11% chance · won 37-27
  • Runner-upStanford over Michigan State27% chance · won 38-0
  • Runner-upAlabama over Michigan41% chance · won 17-14

Upsets

Sat, Dec 7

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
Wyomingvs#16BYU
27%
73%
25
28
✓
BYU −9.4
–
–
Final
#22Alabamavs#2Florida
13%
87%
30
45
✓
FLA −17.9
–
–
Final
#1Nebraskavs#17TexasUpset
89%
11%
27
37
✗
NEB −20.3
–
–

Thu, Dec 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Ball StatevsNevada
36%
64%
15
18
✓
NEV −5.3
–
–

Wed, Dec 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
CaliforniavsNavy
40%
60%
38
42
✓
NAVY −3.8
–
–

Fri, Dec 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
#20Virginiavs#18Miami (FL)
47%
53%
21
31
✓
MIA −0.6
–
–
Final
Houstonvs#9Syracuse
11%
89%
17
30
✓
SYR −19.6
–
–
Final
UtahvsWisconsin
31%
69%
10
38
✓
WIS −7.6
–
–

Sat, Dec 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
ClemsonvsLSU
27%
73%
7
10
✓
LSU −9.1
–
–

Sun, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#19Texas Techvs#23Iowa
57%
43%
0
27
✗
TTU −3.4
–
–

Mon, Dec 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#12Washingtonvs#8Colorado
43%
57%
21
33
✓
COLO −2.5
–
–

Tue, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
ArmyvsAuburn
44%
56%
29
32
✓
AUB −2.1
–
–
Final
#13Virginia Techvs#1Nebraska
11%
89%
21
41
✓
NEB −19.4
–
–
Final
#21Michigan StatevsStanfordUpset
73%
27%
0
38
✗
MSU −10.2
–
–

Wed, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 6 games

Final
#15Michiganvs#22Alabama
59%
41%
14
17
✗
MICH −4.2
–
–
Final
#14Kansas Statevs#16BYU
51%
49%
15
19
✗
KSU −0.9
–
–
Final
West Virginiavs#7North Carolina
24%
76%
13
20
✓
UNC −10.6
–
–
Final
#5Arizona Statevs#4Ohio State
32%
68%
17
20
✓
OSU −6.8
–
–
Final
#17Texasvs#11Penn State
41%
59%
15
38
✓
PSU −3.1
–
–
Final
#25Northwesternvs#10Tennessee
28%
72%
28
48
✓
TENN −8.6
–
–

Thu, Jan 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#3Florida Statevs#2Florida
48%
52%
20
52
✓
FLA −0.4
–
–