Week 7 slate, 1996
The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 50 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.
Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.
Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2
Chaos 28
Wilder than 28% of weeks in the archive.
13 upsets against 13.2 expected
- Biggest shockCalifornia over USC12% chance · won 22-15
- Runner-upNC State over Maryland17% chance · won 34-8
- Runner-upGeorgia Tech over Virginia26% chance · won 13-7
Upsets
- California 22, USC 15California won; the model gave them 12% before kickoff
- Virginia 7, Georgia Tech 13#7 Virginia lost to unranked Georgia Tech
- NC State 34, Maryland 8NC State won; the model gave them 17% before kickoff
No games match.
Thu, Oct 3
Fri, Oct 4
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 1 game
Sat, Oct 5
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 43 games
Against FCS opponents
| When | Game | Model | Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Oct 5 · TBD | Western Kentucky at |
UAB −2.4 | 56% |
| Sat, Oct 5 · TBD | Central Arkansas at |
Arkansas State −6.1 | 64% |
| Sat, Oct 5 · TBD | Yale at |
Army −30.5 | 97% |
| Sat, Oct 5 · TBD | Cal Poly at Idaho | Idaho −6.3 | 64% |
| Sat, Oct 5 · TBD | Northwestern State at |
Louisiana-Monroe −11.8 | 76% |