Week 14 slate, 2018

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 16 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Fri, Nov 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

#20Utahvs#11Washington

39%
61%

3
10

✓

WASH −3.8

–

–

Sat, Dec 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 6 games

Final

#18Texasvs#7Oklahoma

30%
70%

27
39

✓

OU −8.1

–

–

Final

Louisiana@Appalachian State

12%
88%

19
30

✓

APP −18.5

–

–

Final

East Carolina@#24NC State

3.3%
97%

3
58

✓

NCSU −29.1

–

–

Final

Akron@South Carolina

3.3%
97%

3
28

✓

SC −29.2

–

–

Final

Marshall@Virginia Tech

36%
64%

20
41

✓

VT −5.4

–

–

Final

UAB@Middle Tennessee

40%
60%

27
25

✗

MTSU −3.7

–

–

Afternoon 3 games

Final

#22Stanford@California

66%
34%

23
13

✓

STAN −7.3

–

–

Final

Memphis@#10UCF

18%
82%

41
56

✓

UCF −14.5

–

–

Final

#1Alabamavs#3Georgia

68%
32%

35
28

✓

ALA −7.9

–

–

Prime time 3 games

Final

#23Fresno State@Boise State

49%
51%

19
16

✗

FRES −0.2

–

–

Final

#2ClemsonvsPittsburgh

93%
6.7%

42
10

✓

CLEM −24.4

–

–

Final

Northwesternvs#5Ohio State

17%
83%

24
45

✓

OSU −15.0

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Northern IllinoisvsBuffalo

42%
58%

30
29

✗

BUF −2.9

–

–

Against FCS opponents

When	Game	Model	Win
Sat, Dec 1 · 2:00 PM ET	Norfolk State at Liberty	Liberty −11.3	77%
Sat, Dec 1 · 12:00 PM ET	Drake at Iowa State	Iowa State −34.9	99%