Week 8 slate, 2018

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 55 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Thu, Oct 18

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 2 games

Final

Georgia State@Arkansas State

24%
76%

35
51

✓

ARST −10.9

–

–

Final

#20Stanford@Arizona State

50%
50%

20
13

✗

STAN −0.4

–

–

Fri, Oct 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Colorado State@Boise State

8.8%
91%

28
56

✓

BOIS −21.2

–

–

Late night 1 game

Final

Air Force@UNLV

72%
28%

41
35

✓

AF −9.6

–

–

Sat, Oct 20

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 15 games

Final

Tulsa@Arkansas

33%
67%

0
23

✓

ARK −6.3

–

–

Final

#16Auburn@Ole Miss

65%
35%

31
16

✓

AUB −6.6

–

–

Final

Illinois@#11Wisconsin

5.2%
95%

20
49

✓

WIS −25.7

–

–

Final

Northwestern@Rutgers

90%
10%

18
15

✓

NU −20.6

–

–

Final

Maryland@#14Iowa

26%
74%

0
23

✓

IOWA −9.8

–

–

Final

#3Michigan@#23Michigan State

74%
26%

21
7

✓

MICH −10.9

–

–

Final

#7Oklahoma@TCU

77%
23%

52
27

✓

OU −12.0

–

–

Final

Miami (OH)@Army

15%
85%

30
31

✓

ARMY −16.3

–

–

Final

Cincinnati@Temple

49%
51%

17
24

✓

CIN −0.2

–

–

Final

Buffalo@Toledo

46%
54%

31
17

✗

TOL −0.9

–

–

Final

North Carolina@Syracuse

19%
81%

37
40

✓

SYR −13.8

–

–

Final

Virginia@#21DukeUpset

23%
77%

28
14

✗

DUKE −11.3

–

–

Final

Bowling Green@Ohio

16%
84%

14
49

✓

OHIO −15.2

–

–

Final

Florida Atlantic@Marshall

53%
47%

7
31

✗

FAU −1.7

–

–

Final

Utah State@Wyoming

85%
15%

24
16

✓

USU −16.9

–

–

Afternoon 19 games

Final

Charlotte@Middle Tennessee

21%
79%

13
21

✓

MTSU −12.3

–

–

Final

Eastern Michigan@Ball State

57%
43%

42
20

✓

EMU −3.3

–

–

Final

Western Michigan@Central Michigan

68%
32%

35
10

✓

WMU −7.9

–

–

Final

#1Alabama@Tennessee

96%
3.5%

58
21

✓

ALA −29.4

–

–

Final

Colorado@#10Washington

20%
80%

13
27

✓

WASH −13.0

–

–

Final

#6Penn State@Indiana

90%
9.7%

33
28

✓

PSU −21.2

–

–

Final

Kansas@Texas Tech

17%
83%

16
48

✓

TTU −15.0

–

–

Final

#18NC State@#5Clemson

20%
80%

7
41

✓

CLEM −12.9

–

–

Final

Wake Forest@Florida State

29%
71%

17
38

✓

FSU −8.2

–

–

Final

Minnesota@Nebraska

59%
41%

28
53

✗

MINN −4.2

–

–

Final

Coastal Carolina@UMass

41%
59%

24
13

✗

MASS −3.0

–

–

Final

UTEP@Louisiana Tech

4.0%
96%

24
31

✓

LT −27.7

–

–

Final

Houston@Navy

68%
32%

49
36

✓

HOU −7.8

–

–

Final

SMU@Tulane

34%
66%

27
23

✗

TULN −6.2

–

–

Final

Akron@Kent State

54%
46%

24
23

✓

AKR −2.3

–

–

Final

Louisiana@Appalachian State

5.9%
94%

17
27

✓

APP −24.7

–

–

Final

Memphis@Missouri

34%
66%

33
65

✓

MIZ −6.3

–

–

Final

California@Oregon State

66%
34%

49
7

✓

CAL −7.1

–

–

Final

Georgia Southern@New Mexico State

82%
18%

48
31

✓

GASO −15.3

–

–

Prime time 12 games

Final

#17Mississippi State@#9LSU

32%
68%

3
19

✓

LSU −6.8

–

–

Final

UTSA@Southern Miss

23%
77%

17
27

✓

USM −11.1

–

–

Final

#15UCF@East Carolina

96%
3.7%

37
10

✓

UCF −29.0

–

–

Final

UConn@USF

3.8%
96%

30
38

✓

USF −28.1

–

–

Final

Texas State@Louisiana-Monroe

29%
71%

14
20

✓

ULM −8.2

–

–

Final

Vanderbilt@Kentucky

25%
75%

7
14

✓

UK −10.5

–

–

Final

Oregon@Washington State

45%
55%

20
34

✓

WSU −1.3

–

–

Final

#2Ohio State@PurdueUpset

83%
17%

20
49

✗

OSU −15.6

–

–

Final

Rice@FIU

6.5%
94%

17
36

✓

FIU −23.8

–

–

Final

North Texas@UAB

56%
44%

21
29

✗

UNT −3.1

–

–

Final

Old Dominion@Western Kentucky

45%
55%

37
34

✗

WKU −1.3

–

–

Final

Fresno State@New Mexico

83%
17%

38
7

✓

FRES −15.5

–

–

Late night 3 games

Final

Arizona@UCLA

37%
63%

30
31

✓

UCLA −5.0

–

–

Final

San Jose State@San Diego State

4.0%
96%

13
16

✓

SDSU −27.7

–

–

Final

Nevada@Hawaii

48%
52%

40
22

✗

HAW −0.4

–

–

Sun, Oct 21

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final

USC@Utah

44%
56%

28
41

✓

UTAH −2.0

–

–

Against FCS opponents

When	Game	Model	Win
Sat, Oct 20 · 2:00 PM ET	Idaho State at Liberty	Liberty −33.2	98%