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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 15 slate, 2019

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 11 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 10

Wilder than 10% of weeks in the archive.

2 upsets against 3.1 expected

  • Biggest shockOregon over Utah44% chance · won 37-15
  • Runner-upMiami (OH) over Central Michigan45% chance · won 26-21
  • Runner-upLSU over Georgia59% chance · won 37-10

Fri, Dec 6

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final
#8Utahvs#14Oregon
56%
44%
15
37
✗
UTAH −2.9
–
–

Sat, Dec 7

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 4 games

Final
#18Baylorvs#12Oklahoma
31%
69%
23
30
✓
OU −7.5
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)vsCentral Michigan
45%
55%
26
21
✗
CMU −1.3
–
–
Final
Louisiana@#25Appalachian State
29%
71%
38
45
✓
APP −8.5
–
–
Final
UAB@Florida Atlantic
20%
80%
6
49
✓
FAU −12.9
–
–

Afternoon 3 games

Final
Cincinnati@#23Memphis
34%
66%
24
29
✓
MEM −5.9
–
–
Final
Hawaii@Boise State
16%
84%
10
31
✓
BOIS −15.3
–
–
Final
#5Georgiavs#4LSU
41%
59%
10
37
✓
LSU −3.0
–
–

Prime time 2 games

Final
Virginiavs#2Clemson
6.5%
94%
17
62
✓
CLEM −23.9
–
–
Final
#1Ohio Statevs#6Wisconsin
79%
21%
34
21
✓
OSU −13.5
–
–

Sat, Dec 14

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Afternoon 1 game

Final
ArmyvsNavy
20%
80%
7
31
✓
NAVY −12.8
–
–