Week 7 slate, 2019

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 53 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Thu, Oct 10

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Louisiana-Monroe@Texas State

56%
44%

24
14

✓

ULM −2.4

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Appalachian State@Louisiana

59%
41%

17
7

✓

APP −3.6

–

–

Fri, Oct 11

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Late night 1 game

Final

Colorado@#14Oregon

17%
83%

3
45

✓

ORE −15.9

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Syracuse@NC State

49%
51%

10
16

✓

NCSU −0.7

–

–

Sat, Oct 12

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 12 games

Final

South Carolina@#4GeorgiaUpset

13%
87%

20
17

✗

UGA −18.8

–

–

Final

#23Mississippi State@TennesseeUpset

70%
30%

10
20

✗

MSST −8.6

–

–

Final

#7Oklahomavs#11Texas

61%
39%

34
27

✓

OU −4.5

–

–

Final

#13Michigan@Illinois

89%
11%

42
25

✓

MICH −20.2

–

–

Final

Rutgers@Indiana

10%
90%

0
35

✓

IU −20.9

–

–

Final

Maryland@Purdue

68%
32%

14
40

✗

MD −7.6

–

–

Final

Memphis@Temple

55%
45%

28
30

✗

MEM −1.9

–

–

Final

Miami (OH)@Western Michigan

33%
67%

16
38

✓

WMU −7.6

–

–

Final

Toledo@Bowling GreenUpset

92%
8.5%

7
20

✗

TOL −22.7

–

–

Final

Georgia Tech@Duke

15%
85%

23
41

✓

DUKE −17.0

–

–

Final

Ball State@Eastern Michigan

45%
55%

29
23

✗

EMU −2.2

–

–

Final

Old Dominion@Marshall

20%
80%

17
31

✓

MRSH −14.1

–

–

Afternoon 17 games

Final

New Mexico State@Central Michigan

26%
74%

28
42

✓

CMU −10.7

–

–

Final

#1Alabama@#22Texas A&M

86%
14%

47
28

✓

ALA −18.2

–

–

Final

#17Michigan State@#8Wisconsin

28%
72%

0
38

✓

WIS −9.9

–

–

Final

Florida State@#3Clemson

6.4%
94%

14
45

✓

CLEM −25.4

–

–

Final

Washington State@Arizona State

37%
63%

34
38

✓

ASU −5.5

–

–

Final

BYU@USF

64%
36%

23
27

✗

BYU −5.9

–

–

Final

#24Cincinnati@Houston

61%
39%

38
23

✓

CIN −4.5

–

–

Final

Kent State@Akron

75%
25%

26
3

✓

KENT −11.0

–

–

Final

Northern Illinois@Ohio

37%
63%

39
36

✗

OHIO −5.6

–

–

Final

UConn@Tulane

1.5%
98%

7
49

✓

TULN −36.2

–

–

Final

UNLV@VanderbiltUpset

18%
82%

34
10

✗

VAN −15.5

–

–

Final

Texas Tech@Baylor

30%
70%

30
33

✓

BAY −8.7

–

–

Final

#25Iowa State@West Virginia

56%
44%

38
14

✓

ISU −2.5

–

–

Final

Middle Tennessee@Florida Atlantic

31%
69%

13
28

✓

FAU −8.5

–

–

Final

San Jose State@Nevada

46%
54%

38
41

✓

NEV −1.8

–

–

Final

Georgia State@Coastal Carolina

36%
64%

31
21

✗

CCU −6.0

–

–

Final

UAB@UTSA

76%
24%

33
14

✓

UAB −11.8

–

–

Prime time 12 games

Final

Ole Miss@#19Missouri

19%
81%

27
38

✓

MIZ −14.4

–

–

Final

Charlotte@FIU

40%
60%

23
48

✓

FIU −4.5

–

–

Final

UMass@Louisiana Tech

5.1%
95%

21
69

✓

LT −27.2

–

–

Final

North Texas@Southern Miss

44%
56%

27
45

✓

USM −2.5

–

–

Final

Army@Western Kentucky

68%
32%

8
17

✗

ARMY −7.7

–

–

Final

Fresno State@Air Force

49%
51%

24
43

✓

AF −0.4

–

–

Final

Arkansas@Kentucky

19%
81%

20
24

✓

UK −14.6

–

–

Final

#6Penn State@#16Iowa

63%
37%

17
12

✓

PSU −5.5

–

–

Final

Nebraska@Minnesota

41%
59%

7
34

✓

MINN −4.0

–

–

Final

Louisville@Wake Forest

34%
66%

62
59

✗

WAKE −7.0

–

–

Final

#18USC@#10Notre Dame

28%
72%

27
30

✓

ND −9.8

–

–

Final

Navy@Tulsa

57%
43%

45
17

✓

NAVY −2.8

–

–

Late night 3 games

Final

Hawaii@Boise State

24%
76%

37
59

✓

BOIS −11.7

–

–

Final

Wyoming@San Diego State

44%
56%

22
26

✓

SDSU −2.5

–

–

Final

#15Washington@Arizona

75%
25%

51
27

✓

WASH −11.3

–

–

Time TBD 2 games

Final

Virginia@Miami (FL)

48%
52%

9
17

✓

MIA −0.9

–

–

Final

Colorado State@New Mexico

42%
58%

35
21

✗

UNM −3.3

–

–

Sun, Oct 13

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final

#12Florida@#5LSU

29%
71%

28
42

✓

LSU −9.4

–

–

Final

#21Utah@Oregon State

75%
25%

52
7

✓

UTAH −11.2

–

–

Against FCS opponents

When	Game	Model	Win
Sat, Oct 12 · 4:00 PM ET	Rhode Island at Virginia Tech	Virginia Tech −40.6	99%