The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 1979

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 15 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos

Not yet ranked against the archive.

6 upsets against 5.4 expected

  • Biggest shockIndiana over BYU13% chance · won 38-37
  • Runner-upHouston over Nebraska36% chance · won 17-14
  • Runner-upBaylor over Clemson40% chance · won 24-18

Upsets

Sat, Dec 15

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
McNeesevsSyracuse
44%
56%
7
31
✓
SYR −2.1
–
–
Final
Californiavs#14Temple
35%
65%
17
28
✓
TEM −5.6
–
–

Fri, Dec 21

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#5BYUvsIndianaUpset
86%
14%
37
38
✗
BYU −18.1
–
–

Sat, Dec 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
Wake Forestvs#19LSU
25%
75%
10
34
✓
LSU −10.5
–
–
Final
Tulanevs#18Penn State
37%
63%
6
9
✓
PSU −4.8
–
–
Final
#8Texasvs#13Washington
56%
44%
7
14
✗
TEX −3.0
–
–

Tue, Dec 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Arizonavs#10Pittsburgh
18%
82%
10
16
✓
PITT −14.0
–
–

Fri, Dec 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#12Michiganvs#15North Carolina
54%
46%
15
17
✗
MICH −2.0
–
–

Sat, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
South CarolinavsMissouri
47%
53%
14
24
✓
MIZ −0.9
–
–

Mon, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
#16ClemsonvsBaylorUpset
60%
40%
18
24
✗
CLEM −4.4
–
–
Final
TennesseevsPurdue
54%
46%
22
27
✗
TENN −2.3
–
–

Tue, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 4 games

Final
#7Arkansasvs#2Alabama
35%
65%
9
24
✓
ALA −5.7
–
–
Final
#4Nebraskavs#11Houston
64%
36%
14
17
✗
NEB −6.2
–
–
Final
#9Florida Statevs#3Oklahoma
36%
64%
7
24
✓
OU −5.0
–
–
Final
#6Ohio Statevs#1USC
37%
63%
16
17
✓
USC −4.7
–
–