The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 13 slate, 1979

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 33 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos

Not yet ranked against the archive.

6 upsets against 9.4 expected

  • Biggest shockArizona over Arizona State20% chance · won 27-24
  • Runner-upNorthern Illinois over Ohio35% chance · won 28-27
  • Runner-upRutgers over Louisville44% chance · won 31-7

Upsets

Sat, Nov 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 30 games

Final
Arizona@#19Arizona StateUpset
20%
80%
27
24
✗
ASU −12.7
–
–
Final
SMU@#9Arkansas
14%
86%
7
31
✓
ARK −16.9
–
–
Final
#6BYU@San Diego State
80%
20%
63
14
✓
BYU −13.6
–
–
Final
#21Central Michigan@San Jose State
75%
25%
34
32
✓
CMU −11.1
–
–
Final
Kansas State@Colorado
44%
56%
6
21
✓
COLO −1.7
–
–
Final
East Carolina@William & Mary
90%
9.5%
38
14
✓
ECU −21.4
–
–
Final
#7Florida State@Florida
90%
9.7%
27
16
✓
FSU −21.2
–
–
Final
Georgia@Georgia Tech
52%
48%
16
3
✓
UGA −1.5
–
–
Final
Colorado State@Hawaii
32%
68%
10
24
✓
HAW −6.8
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@#13Houston
15%
86%
10
14
✓
HOU −16.5
–
–
Final
UNLV@Lamar
63%
37%
24
24
✓
UNLV −5.9
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@Long Beach State
28%
72%
13
16
✓
Long Beach State −9.1
–
–
Final
Virginia@#22Maryland
28%
72%
7
17
✓
MD −8.8
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@Memphis
45%
55%
17
23
✓
MEM −1.6
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Ole Miss
54%
46%
9
14
✗
MSST −2.2
–
–
Final
Missouri@Kansas
78%
22%
55
7
✓
MIZ −12.7
–
–
Final
Wyoming@New Mexico
31%
69%
3
17
✓
UNM −7.3
–
–
Final
#17North Carolina@Duke
85%
15%
37
16
✓
UNC −17.0
–
–
Final
Ohio@Northern Illinois
65%
35%
27
28
✗
OHIO −6.6
–
–
Final
Miami (FL)@Notre Dame
23%
77%
15
40
✓
ND −11.3
–
–
Final
#4Nebraska@#3Oklahoma
39%
61%
14
17
✓
OU −4.1
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@Iowa State
52%
48%
13
10
✓
OKST −1.1
–
–
Final
#15Clemson@South CarolinaUpset
55%
45%
9
13
✗
CLEM −2.5
–
–
Final
UCLA@#2USC
14%
86%
14
49
✓
USC −16.9
–
–
Final
#16Temple@Villanova
86%
14%
42
10
✓
TEM −17.8
–
–
Final
Tennessee@Kentucky
51%
49%
20
17
✓
TENN −0.9
–
–
Final
Baylor@#8Texas
21%
79%
0
13
✓
TEX −12.3
–
–
Final
#20Texas A&M@TCU
81%
19%
30
7
✓
TA&M −14.4
–
–
Final
#18LSU@TulaneUpset
54%
46%
13
24
✗
LSU −2.0
–
–
Final
Utah State@Fresno State
77%
23%
41
31
✓
USU −12.1
–
–

Sun, Nov 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Rutgers@Louisville
44%
56%
31
7
✗
LOU −1.9
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 24 · TBD UMass at Boston College Boston College −6.2 66%
Sat, Nov 24 · TBD Idaho State at Texas-Arlington Texas-Arlington −39.3 99%