The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 15 slate, 1984

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 11 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 88

Wilder than 88% of weeks in the archive.

4 upsets against 3.5 expected

  • Biggest shockTexas A&M over Texas16% chance · won 37-12
  • Runner-upGeorgia Tech over Georgia24% chance · won 35-18
  • Runner-upAlabama over Auburn39% chance · won 17-15

Upsets

Fri, Nov 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Toledo@Temple
38%
62%
6
35
✓
TEM −4.4
–
–

Sat, Dec 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 9 games

Final
#8Auburn@AlabamaUpset
61%
39%
15
17
✗
AUB −4.8
–
–
Final
Navy@Army
46%
54%
11
28
✓
ARMY −0.9
–
–
Final
#2Florida@#4Florida State
49%
51%
27
17
✗
FLA −0.1
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@#11GeorgiaUpset
24%
76%
35
18
✗
UGA −11.0
–
–
Final
Rice@Houston
10%
90%
26
38
✓
HOU −19.9
–
–
Final
#19Iowa@Hawaii
66%
34%
17
6
✓
IOWA −6.9
–
–
Final
#20SMU@UNLV
60%
40%
38
21
✓
SMU −4.5
–
–
Final
#23Tennessee@Vanderbilt
51%
49%
29
13
✓
TENN −1.1
–
–
Final
Texas A&M@#12TexasUpset
16%
84%
37
12
✗
TEX −15.7
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Dec 1 · TBD #17 Boston College at Holy Cross Boston College −34.3 98%