The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 14 slate, 1984

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 21 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 93

Wilder than 93% of weeks in the archive.

9 upsets against 6.7 expected

  • Biggest shockLong Beach State over San Diego State16% chance · won 18-17
  • Runner-upPittsburgh over Penn State28% chance · won 31-11
  • Runner-upBoston College over Miami (FL)30% chance · won 47-45

Upsets

Thu, Nov 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Miami (OH)@Cincinnati
62%
38%
31
26
✓
M-OH −5.3
–
–

Fri, Nov 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#19Boston College@#9Miami (FL)
30%
70%
47
45
✗
MIA −7.8
–
–

Sat, Nov 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 19 games

Final
Air Force@UTEP
91%
9.3%
38
12
✓
AF −21.5
–
–
Final
#22Arizona State@ArizonaUpset
47%
53%
10
16
✓
ARIZ −0.8
–
–
Final
#11Texas@BaylorUpset
69%
31%
10
24
✗
TEX −8.4
–
–
Final
Utah State@#3BYU
1.4%
99%
13
38
✓
BYU −34.8
–
–
Final
New Mexico@Hawaii
26%
74%
13
48
✓
HAW −9.7
–
–
Final
Houston@Texas Tech
50%
50%
24
17
✗
HOU −0.5
–
–
Final
Kentucky@#21TennesseeUpset
34%
66%
17
12
✗
TENN −6.1
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@San Diego StateUpset
16%
84%
18
17
✗
SDSU −15.2
–
–
Final
Tulane@#18LSU
17%
83%
15
33
✓
LSU −14.8
–
–
Final
#14Maryland@Virginia
52%
48%
45
34
✓
MD −1.2
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Ole Miss
45%
55%
3
24
✓
MISS −1.4
–
–
Final
Fresno State@UNLV
24%
76%
13
27
✓
UNLV −11.0
–
–
Final
North Carolina@Duke
71%
29%
17
15
✓
UNC −9.1
–
–
Final
#23Notre Dame@USC
44%
56%
19
7
✗
USC −2.1
–
–
Final
#8Oklahoma State@#10Oklahoma
42%
58%
14
24
✓
OU −2.8
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@Penn State
28%
72%
31
11
✗
PSU −8.9
–
–
Final
#25South Carolina@#13Clemson
31%
69%
22
21
✗
CLEM −7.6
–
–
Final
#16Arkansas@#20SMU
42%
58%
28
31
✓
SMU −2.7
–
–
Final
TCU@Texas A&M
66%
34%
21
35
✗
TCU −6.8
–
–