The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 10 slate, 1984

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 50 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 64

Wilder than 64% of weeks in the archive.

17 upsets against 14.8 expected

  • Biggest shockKansas over Oklahoma15% chance · won 28-11
  • Runner-upNorth Carolina over Memphis21% chance · won 30-27
  • Runner-upWest Texas over New Mexico State24% chance · won 21-13

Upsets

Thu, Oct 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#8BYU@New Mexico
84%
16%
48
0
✓
BYU −16.5
–
–

Fri, Oct 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
West Texas@New Mexico StateUpset
24%
76%
21
13
✗
NMSU −10.9
–
–

Sat, Oct 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 46 games

Final
#21Arkansas@Houston
63%
37%
17
3
✓
ARK −5.6
–
–
Final
#5Auburn@Mississippi State
71%
29%
24
21
✓
AUB −9.4
–
–
Final
Ball State@Eastern Michigan
38%
62%
17
10
✗
EMU −4.2
–
–
Final
Rutgers@#18Boston College
24%
76%
23
35
✓
BC −10.8
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@Cal State Fullerton
30%
70%
28
42
✓
Cal State Fullerton −8.0
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Central Michigan
51%
49%
21
42
✗
BGSU −0.8
–
–
Final
Louisville@Cincinnati
40%
60%
21
40
✓
CIN −3.7
–
–
Final
#11Clemson@NC State
80%
20%
35
34
✓
CLEM −14.1
–
–
Final
#13Georgia@#25Kentucky
54%
46%
37
7
✓
UGA −2.1
–
–
Final
San Diego State@Hawaii
57%
43%
10
16
✗
SDSU −3.2
–
–
Final
#10Iowa@Indiana
91%
8.8%
24
20
✓
IOWA −22.1
–
–
Final
#16Missouri@Iowa State
89%
11%
14
14
✓
MIZ −20.1
–
–
Final
#15Oklahoma@KansasUpset
85%
15%
11
28
✗
OU −16.7
–
–
Final
Toledo@Kent State
69%
31%
6
17
✗
TOL −8.5
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Louisiana
58%
42%
7
13
✗
USM −3.6
–
–
Final
Maryland@Duke
80%
20%
43
7
✓
MD −14.2
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Northern Illinois
37%
63%
20
7
✗
NIU −4.8
–
–
Final
#19Illinois@MichiganUpset
49%
51%
18
26
✓
ILL −0.3
–
–
Final
Michigan State@Minnesota
60%
40%
20
13
✓
MSU −4.7
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@Navy
51%
49%
28
28
✓
PITT −0.9
–
–
Final
Kansas State@#1Nebraska
1.6%
98%
14
62
✓
NEB −34.0
–
–
Final
North Carolina@#23MemphisUpset
21%
79%
30
27
✗
MEM −12.2
–
–
Final
Notre Dame@#14LSUUpset
26%
74%
30
22
✗
LSU −9.8
–
–
Final
Colorado@#3Oklahoma State
2.8%
97%
14
20
✓
OKST −30.4
–
–
Final
Purdue@Northwestern
66%
34%
49
7
✓
PUR −7.3
–
–
Final
Fresno State@San Jose State
54%
46%
17
18
✗
FRES −2.1
–
–
Final
East Carolina@South Carolina
15%
86%
20
42
✓
SC −16.5
–
–
Final
California@USC
22%
78%
7
31
✓
USC −11.9
–
–
Final
Stanford@Oregon State
56%
44%
28
21
✓
STAN −2.8
–
–
Final
Army@Syracuse
22%
78%
16
27
✓
SYR −11.8
–
–
Final
Tennessee@Georgia Tech
42%
58%
24
21
✗
GT −2.7
–
–
Final
#20SMU@#7Texas
26%
74%
7
13
✓
TEX −9.9
–
–
Final
Rice@Texas A&M
19%
81%
14
38
✓
TA&M −13.7
–
–
Final
Baylor@#24TCU
23%
77%
28
38
✓
TCU −11.5
–
–
Final
Tulsa@Texas Tech
40%
60%
17
20
✓
TTU −3.7
–
–
Final
UCLA@Arizona State
32%
68%
21
13
✗
ASU −7.1
–
–
Final
UTEP@Utah
6.7%
93%
15
43
✓
UTAH −23.6
–
–
Final
Pacific@Utah State
29%
71%
14
41
✓
USU −8.2
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Vanderbilt
40%
60%
20
37
✓
VAN −3.4
–
–
Final
Virginia Tech@Temple
49%
51%
9
7
✗
VT −0.1
–
–
Final
Arizona@#9Washington
23%
77%
12
28
✓
WASH −11.3
–
–
Final
Washington State@Oregon
41%
59%
50
41
✗
ORE −3.1
–
–
Final
Penn State@#17West Virginia
31%
69%
14
17
✓
WVU −7.4
–
–
Final
Ohio@Western Michigan
29%
71%
14
33
✓
WMU −8.3
–
–
Final
#12Ohio State@WisconsinUpset
66%
34%
14
16
✗
OSU −7.0
–
–
Final
Wyoming@Colorado State
60%
40%
43
34
✓
WYO −4.7
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 27 · TBD William & Mary at Wake Forest Wake Forest −27.4 96%
Sat, Oct 27 · TBD Wichita State at Drake Drake −3.9 61%