The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 12 slate, 1984

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 51 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 68

Wilder than 68% of weeks in the archive.

10 upsets against 13.5 expected

  • Biggest shockPacific over Fresno State8.0% chance · won 24-6
  • Runner-upHouston over Texas12% chance · won 29-15
  • Runner-upMichigan State over Iowa15% chance · won 17-16

Upsets

Sat, Nov 10

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 47 games

Final
Air Force@New Mexico
75%
25%
23
9
✓
AF −11.2
–
–
Final
Stanford@Arizona
22%
78%
14
28
✓
ARIZ −11.9
–
–
Final
Arizona State@Oregon
57%
42%
44
10
✓
ASU −3.5
–
–
Final
#18Arkansas@Baylor
59%
41%
14
9
✓
ARK −4.1
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@#13Auburn
3.9%
96%
0
60
✓
AUB −27.9
–
–
Final
Army@#16Boston College
13%
87%
31
45
✓
BC −17.5
–
–
Final
Ohio@Bowling Green
10%
90%
7
28
✓
BGSU −19.9
–
–
Final
San Diego State@#4BYU
11%
89%
3
34
✓
BYU −18.9
–
–
Final
Ball State@Central Michigan
10%
90%
7
51
✓
CMU −19.6
–
–
Final
Virginia Tech@#10Clemson
17%
83%
10
17
✓
CLEM −14.8
–
–
Final
UTEP@Colorado State
22%
78%
31
59
✓
CSU −11.6
–
–
Final
#7Georgia@#2Florida
36%
64%
0
27
✓
FLA −5.4
–
–
Final
Houston@#9TexasUpset
12%
88%
29
15
✗
TEX −18.1
–
–
Final
#17Illinois@Indiana
85%
15%
34
7
✓
ILL −17.0
–
–
Final
Iowa State@Kansas State
41%
59%
7
7
✗
KSU −3.1
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@Kentucky
42%
58%
18
27
✓
UK −2.7
–
–
Final
#15LSU@Alabama
51%
49%
16
14
✓
LSU −1.0
–
–
Final
#19Maryland@#8Miami (FL)
28%
72%
42
40
✗
MIA −9.0
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Miami (OH)
25%
75%
0
23
✓
M-OH −10.4
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Michigan
10%
90%
7
31
✓
MICH −20.0
–
–
Final
Michigan State@#12IowaUpset
15%
85%
17
16
✗
IOWA −16.0
–
–
Final
#1Nebraska@Kansas
92%
7.6%
41
7
✓
NEB −23.3
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@UNLV
33%
67%
20
26
✓
UNLV −6.7
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@North Carolina
50%
50%
17
24
✓
GT −0.4
–
–
Final
#11Ohio State@Northwestern
92%
8.5%
52
3
✓
OSU −22.4
–
–
Final
#14Oklahoma@Colorado
85%
15%
42
17
✓
OU −17.1
–
–
Final
Missouri@#6Oklahoma State
23%
77%
13
31
✓
OKST −11.2
–
–
Final
Pacific@Fresno StateUpset
8.0%
92%
24
6
✗
FRES −22.1
–
–
Final
Tulane@Pittsburgh
40%
60%
10
21
✓
PITT −3.3
–
–
Final
#20West Virginia@RutgersUpset
57%
43%
19
23
✗
WVU −3.2
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@San Jose State
30%
70%
7
42
✓
SJSU −8.1
–
–
Final
#3Florida State@#22South Carolina
63%
37%
26
38
✗
FSU −5.7
–
–
Final
#5Washington@#25USC
62%
38%
7
16
✗
WASH −5.3
–
–
Final
#23SMU@Rice
89%
11%
31
17
✓
SMU −20.3
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@East Carolina
53%
47%
31
27
✓
USM −1.7
–
–
Final
Navy@Syracuse
26%
74%
0
29
✓
SYR −9.6
–
–
Final
Memphis@Tennessee
47%
53%
9
41
✓
TENN −0.9
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@#21TCU
23%
77%
16
27
✓
TCU −11.3
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Toledo
30%
70%
7
13
✓
TOL −8.0
–
–
Final
Oregon State@UCLA
16%
84%
17
26
✓
UCLA −15.8
–
–
Final
Utah@Utah State
78%
22%
21
10
✓
UTAH −12.8
–
–
Final
NC State@Virginia
26%
74%
0
45
✓
UVA −9.6
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@Duke
62%
38%
20
16
✓
WAKE −5.5
–
–
Final
Washington State@California
55%
45%
33
7
✓
WSU −2.5
–
–
Final
Kent State@Western Michigan
34%
66%
9
13
✓
WMU −6.3
–
–
Final
West Texas@Wichita State
35%
65%
14
17
✓
Wichita State −5.6
–
–
Final
Purdue@Wisconsin
40%
60%
13
30
✓
WIS −3.5
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 10 · TBD Louisiana at McNeese Louisiana −15.0 82%
Sat, Nov 10 · TBD Tennessee State at Louisville Louisville −13.0 80%
Sat, Nov 10 · TBD Tulsa at Indiana State Tulsa −2.3 55%
Sat, Nov 10 · TBD South Dakota State at Wyoming Wyoming −24.6 94%