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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 13 slate, 1984

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 50 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 99

Wilder than 99% of weeks in the archive.

21 upsets against 13.9 expected

  • Biggest shockMontana State over Fresno State5.8% chance · won 35-31
  • Runner-upMinnesota over Iowa12% chance · won 23-17
  • Runner-upKansas over Missouri16% chance · won 35-21

Upsets

Sat, Nov 17

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 44 games

Final
Alabama@Cincinnati
84%
16%
29
7
✓
ALA −16.1
–
–
Final
Colorado State@Arizona State
10%
90%
14
45
✓
ASU −19.7
–
–
Final
Texas A&M@#20Arkansas
17%
83%
0
28
✓
ARK −14.5
–
–
Final
#11Georgia@#8Auburn
38%
62%
12
21
✓
AUB −4.3
–
–
Final
Baylor@Rice
80%
20%
46
40
✓
BAY −14.2
–
–
Final
Syracuse@#17Boston College
28%
72%
16
24
✓
BC −8.6
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Kent State
72%
28%
27
10
✓
BGSU −10.0
–
–
Final
#3BYU@Utah
76%
24%
24
14
✓
BYU −11.8
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@New Mexico State
85%
15%
20
0
✓
Cal State Fullerton −16.9
–
–
Final
Duke@NC StateUpset
22%
78%
16
13
✗
NCSU −11.8
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Eastern Michigan
62%
38%
14
24
✗
WMU −5.5
–
–
Final
#2Florida@Kentucky
72%
28%
25
17
✓
FLA −9.7
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@Wake Forest
58%
42%
24
7
✓
GT −3.9
–
–
Final
Kansas@MissouriUpset
16%
84%
35
21
✗
MIZ −15.5
–
–
Final
Colorado@Kansas State
44%
56%
6
38
✓
KSU −1.8
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Tulsa
32%
68%
18
17
✗
TLSA −7.0
–
–
Final
#10Clemson@#18Maryland
50%
50%
23
41
✓
CLEM −0.3
–
–
Final
#13Iowa@MinnesotaUpset
88%
12%
17
23
✗
IOWA −19.2
–
–
Final
#15LSU@Mississippi StateUpset
62%
38%
14
16
✗
LSU −5.3
–
–
Final
#19South Carolina@NavyUpset
75%
25%
21
38
✗
SC −11.2
–
–
Final
UNLV@Utah State
76%
24%
36
20
✓
UNLV −11.4
–
–
Final
#25Penn State@Notre DameUpset
44%
56%
7
44
✓
ND −1.7
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Ohio
59%
41%
3
10
✗
NIU −4.0
–
–
Final
Michigan@#6Ohio State
23%
77%
6
21
✓
OSU −11.1
–
–
Final
#12Oklahoma@#1NebraskaUpset
19%
81%
17
7
✗
NEB −13.8
–
–
Final
Iowa State@#4Oklahoma State
2.8%
97%
10
16
✓
OKST −30.2
–
–
Final
Oregon@Oregon State
54%
46%
31
6
✓
ORE −2.2
–
–
Final
Indiana@Purdue
15%
85%
24
31
✓
PUR −16.3
–
–
Final
New Mexico@San Diego State
22%
78%
31
37
✓
SDSU −11.6
–
–
Final
San Jose State@Pacific
74%
26%
33
0
✓
SJSU −10.9
–
–
Final
#24SMU@Texas Tech
60%
40%
31
0
✓
SMU −4.6
–
–
Final
Louisville@Southern Miss
16%
84%
25
34
✓
USM −15.5
–
–
Final
Stanford@California
51%
49%
27
10
✓
STAN −1.0
–
–
Final
#23West Virginia@TempleUpset
61%
39%
17
19
✗
WVU −4.9
–
–
Final
Tennessee@Ole Miss
52%
48%
41
17
✓
TENN −1.4
–
–
Final
#14Texas@#21TCU
48%
52%
44
23
✗
TCU −0.5
–
–
Final
Wyoming@UTEPUpset
81%
19%
22
35
✗
WYO −14.7
–
–
Final
Toledo@Central Michigan
28%
72%
14
7
✗
CMU −8.8
–
–
Final
Memphis@Tulane
56%
44%
9
14
✗
MEM −2.9
–
–
Final
#22USC@UCLAUpset
55%
45%
10
29
✗
USC −2.7
–
–
Final
North Carolina@Virginia
26%
74%
24
24
✗
UVA −9.9
–
–
Final
Virginia Tech@Vanderbilt
34%
66%
23
3
✗
VAN −5.9
–
–
Final
#7Washington@Washington State
70%
30%
38
29
✓
WASH −8.8
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Michigan State
49%
51%
20
10
✗
WIS −0.2
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 17 · TBD Montana at Army Army −31.1 98%
Sat, Nov 17 · TBD Drake at West Texas West Texas −5.3 64%
Sat, Nov 17 · TBD Chattanooga at #5 Florida State Florida State −32.8 98%
Sat, Nov 17 · TBD Illinois State at Wichita State Wichita State −10.0 74%
Sat, Nov 17 · TBD Montana State at Fresno State Fresno State −24.8 94%
Sat, Nov 17 · TBD Colgate at Rutgers Rutgers −32.0 98%