The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 8 slate, 1984

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 53 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 38

Wilder than 38% of weeks in the archive.

18 upsets against 15.8 expected

  • Biggest shockMinnesota over Wisconsin13% chance · won 17-14
  • Runner-upColorado State over New Mexico15% chance · won 16-10
  • Runner-upVirginia over Georgia Tech33% chance · won 20-20

Upsets

Sat, Oct 13

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 48 games

Final
Air Force@#22Notre DameUpset
35%
65%
21
7
✗
ND −5.5
–
–
Final
Penn State@Alabama
44%
56%
0
6
✓
ALA −2.0
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@Arkansas
29%
71%
0
24
✓
ARK −8.3
–
–
Final
#6Auburn@#2Florida State
33%
67%
42
41
✗
FSU −6.4
–
–
Final
Temple@#19Boston College
23%
77%
10
24
✓
BC −11.1
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Bowling Green
26%
74%
7
34
✓
BGSU −9.6
–
–
Final
Wyoming@#3BYU
4.4%
96%
38
41
✓
BYU −27.0
–
–
Final
San Jose State@Cal State Fullerton
51%
49%
12
21
✗
SJSU −0.9
–
–
Final
Ohio@Central Michigan
22%
78%
3
35
✓
CMU −11.8
–
–
Final
Iowa State@Colorado
34%
66%
21
23
✓
COLO −6.0
–
–
Final
Colorado State@New MexicoUpset
15%
85%
16
10
✗
UNM −15.8
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Eastern Michigan
67%
33%
10
10
✓
NIU −7.3
–
–
Final
#7Florida@Tennessee
70%
30%
43
30
✓
FLA −8.6
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@#15Georgia
25%
75%
12
18
✓
UGA −10.2
–
–
Final
Virginia@Georgia Tech
33%
67%
20
20
✗
GT −6.7
–
–
Final
Hawaii@UTEP
79%
21%
24
20
✓
HAW −13.4
–
–
Final
Texas A&M@Houston
38%
62%
7
9
✓
HOU −4.5
–
–
Final
#17Iowa@Purdue
55%
45%
40
3
✓
IOWA −2.6
–
–
Final
Kansas@Kansas State
55%
45%
7
24
✗
KU −2.6
–
–
Final
Kent State@Ball State
45%
55%
15
10
✗
BALL −1.5
–
–
Final
#16Kentucky@Mississippi State
57%
43%
17
13
✓
UK −3.5
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@Utah State
47%
53%
24
22
✗
USU −0.6
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@#21LSU
35%
65%
27
34
✓
LSU −5.8
–
–
Final
NC State@Maryland
29%
71%
21
44
✓
MD −8.3
–
–
Final
Louisiana@#23Memphis
14%
86%
7
20
✓
MEM −17.1
–
–
Final
#5Miami (FL)@Cincinnati
93%
6.9%
49
25
✓
MIA −24.1
–
–
Final
Northwestern@#24Michigan
11%
89%
0
31
✓
MICH −19.3
–
–
Final
Indiana@Michigan State
20%
80%
6
13
✓
MSU −12.7
–
–
Final
Minnesota@WisconsinUpset
13%
87%
17
14
✗
WIS −17.8
–
–
Final
#18Missouri@#1Nebraska
17%
83%
23
33
✓
NEB −14.6
–
–
Final
#20Illinois@#12Ohio State
32%
68%
38
45
✓
OSU −6.8
–
–
Final
California@Oregon State
55%
45%
6
9
✗
CAL −2.6
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@Pacific
52%
48%
7
21
✗
NMSU −1.2
–
–
Final
Army@Rutgers
18%
82%
7
14
✓
RUTG −14.0
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@South Carolina
34%
66%
21
45
✓
SC −6.0
–
–
Final
USC@Oregon
57%
43%
19
9
✓
USC −3.2
–
–
Final
#13SMU@Baylor
74%
26%
24
20
✓
SMU −10.7
–
–
Final
#10Oklahoma@#4Texas
35%
65%
15
15
✗
TEX −5.8
–
–
Final
Rice@#25TCU
7.7%
92%
24
45
✓
TCU −22.4
–
–
Final
Toledo@Miami (OH)
67%
33%
10
7
✓
TOL −7.5
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Tulane
62%
38%
7
35
✗
USM −5.6
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Tulsa
40%
60%
20
31
✓
TLSA −3.7
–
–
Final
Washington State@UCLA
27%
73%
24
27
✓
UCLA −9.1
–
–
Final
San Diego State@Utah
41%
59%
24
24
✗
UTAH −3.3
–
–
Final
Duke@Virginia Tech
21%
79%
0
27
✓
VT −12.3
–
–
Final
North Carolina@Wake Forest
51%
49%
3
14
✗
UNC −1.0
–
–
Final
#9Washington@Stanford
76%
24%
37
15
✓
WASH −11.8
–
–
Final
Syracuse@#14West Virginia
23%
77%
10
20
✓
WVU −11.4
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Fri, Oct 12 · TBD Abilene Christian at West Texas Abilene Christian −5.8 63%
Sat, Oct 13 · TBD Indiana State at Louisville Louisville −5.3 64%
Sat, Oct 13 · TBD Lehigh at Navy Navy −23.8 93%
Sat, Oct 13 · TBD Idaho State at UNLV UNLV −29.6 97%
Sat, Oct 13 · TBD Texas-Arlington at Wichita State Wichita State −1.8 56%