The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 7 slate, 1984

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 52 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 93

Wilder than 93% of weeks in the archive.

19 upsets against 14.7 expected

  • Biggest shockEastern Michigan over Central Michigan9.5% chance · won 16-16
  • Runner-upTulane over Vanderbilt12% chance · won 27-23
  • Runner-upMichigan State over Michigan14% chance · won 19-7

Upsets

Fri, Oct 5

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
Tulsa@West Texas
92%
8.3%
35
7
✓
TLSA −22.9
–
–
Final
New Mexico@Utah
52%
48%
14
38
✗
UNM −0.9
–
–

Sat, Oct 6

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 44 games

Final
Navy@Air Force
16%
84%
22
29
✓
AF −16.7
–
–
Final
Oregon@Arizona
28%
72%
14
28
✓
ARIZ −10.0
–
–
Final
#5Auburn@Ole Miss
73%
27%
17
13
✓
AUB −10.0
–
–
Final
#7BYU@Colorado State
90%
9.9%
52
9
✓
BYU −21.3
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@Pacific
75%
25%
41
31
✓
Cal State Fullerton −10.9
–
–
Final
California@#25Arizona StateUpset
18%
82%
19
14
✗
ASU −15.4
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Central Michigan
9.5%
90%
16
16
✗
CMU −21.9
–
–
Final
North Carolina@#11Clemson
14%
86%
12
20
✓
CLEM −18.0
–
–
Final
Syracuse@#12Florida
24%
76%
0
16
✓
FLA −12.1
–
–
Final
Memphis@#2Florida State
15%
85%
17
17
✗
FSU −17.5
–
–
Final
#19Georgia@Alabama
50%
50%
24
14
✗
ALA −0.1
–
–
Final
Fresno State@Hawaii
52%
48%
15
27
✗
FRES −0.6
–
–
Final
Houston@Baylor
28%
72%
27
17
✗
BAY −10.0
–
–
Final
#23Wisconsin@IllinoisUpset
44%
56%
6
22
✓
ILL −2.8
–
–
Final
#22Iowa@Northwestern
76%
24%
31
3
✓
IOWA −11.9
–
–
Final
Iowa State@Kansas
26%
74%
14
33
✓
KU −10.9
–
–
Final
Rutgers@#18Kentucky
30%
70%
14
27
✓
UK −8.6
–
–
Final
Wichita State@Louisiana
9.4%
91%
3
31
✓
UL −21.9
–
–
Final
#8Miami (FL)@#16Notre Dame
52%
48%
31
13
✓
MIA −0.6
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Kent State
40%
60%
19
3
✗
KENT −4.2
–
–
Final
Michigan State@#15MichiganUpset
14%
86%
19
7
✗
MICH −17.9
–
–
Final
Indiana@Minnesota
46%
54%
24
33
✓
MINN −1.6
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Mississippi State
50%
50%
18
27
✗
PK
–
–
Final
Colorado@#24Missouri
12%
88%
7
52
✓
MIZ −19.8
–
–
Final
#4Oklahoma State@#1Nebraska
31%
68%
3
17
✓
NEB −8.1
–
–
Final
UNLV@Long Beach State
62%
38%
41
23
✓
UNLV −4.8
–
–
Final
UTEP@New Mexico State
45%
55%
16
27
✓
NMSU −2.2
–
–
Final
NC State@Georgia Tech
26%
74%
27
22
✗
GT −10.8
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Western Michigan
43%
57%
20
15
✗
WMU −2.9
–
–
Final
Maryland@Penn State
43%
57%
24
25
✓
PSU −3.1
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Pittsburgh
31%
68%
10
17
✓
PITT −8.1
–
–
Final
#10Ohio State@PurdueUpset
70%
30%
23
28
✗
OSU −8.6
–
–
Final
San Diego State@Wyoming
56%
44%
21
0
✓
SDSU −2.6
–
–
Final
Utah State@San Jose State
24%
76%
21
38
✓
SJSU −12.0
–
–
Final
Kansas State@South Carolina
21%
79%
17
49
✓
SC −13.6
–
–
Final
USC@Washington State
61%
39%
29
27
✓
USC −4.5
–
–
Final
Stanford@UCLA
30%
70%
23
21
✗
UCLA −8.8
–
–
Final
#3Texas@Rice
94%
5.7%
38
13
✓
TEX −26.2
–
–
Final
TCU@Arkansas
44%
56%
32
31
✗
ARK −2.6
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@Texas A&M
39%
61%
30
12
✗
TA&M −4.7
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Toledo
47%
53%
6
17
✓
TOL −1.4
–
–
Final
Tulane@#21VanderbiltUpset
12%
88%
27
23
✗
VAN −19.2
–
–
Final
Virginia@Duke
46%
54%
38
10
✗
DUKE −1.8
–
–
Final
#6Washington@Oregon State
89%
11%
19
7
✓
WASH −20.1
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 6 · TBD Harvard at Army Army −23.8 92%
Sat, Oct 6 · TBD Ball State at Indiana State Ball State −0.2 51%
Sat, Oct 6 · TBD Western Kentucky at Louisville Louisville −4.4 60%
Sat, Oct 6 · TBD Temple at William & Mary Temple −30.5 97%
Sat, Oct 6 · TBD VMI at Virginia Tech Virginia Tech −34.4 98%
Sat, Oct 6 · TBD Wake Forest at Richmond Wake Forest −19.9 89%