The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 9 slate, 1984

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 56 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 17

Wilder than 17% of weeks in the archive.

14 upsets against 14.8 expected

  • Biggest shockHouston over SMU14% chance · won 29-20
  • Runner-upWest Texas over Southern Illinois23% chance · won 24-17
  • Runner-upNorthwestern over Minnesota35% chance · won 31-28

Upsets

Sat, Oct 20

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 48 games

Final
Oregon State@Arizona State
17%
83%
10
45
✓
ASU −14.7
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@#7Auburn
16%
84%
34
48
✓
AUB −15.4
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Ball State
61%
39%
20
23
✗
WMU −5.0
–
–
Final
Baylor@Texas A&M
49%
51%
20
16
✗
BAY −0.2
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Bowling Green
23%
77%
6
28
✓
BGSU −11.1
–
–
Final
#9BYU@#22Air Force
58%
42%
30
25
✓
BYU −3.6
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Miami (OH)
66%
34%
10
9
✓
CMU −7.1
–
–
Final
Duke@#12Clemson
5.0%
95%
21
54
✓
CLEM −25.9
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@#4Florida
2.8%
97%
17
48
✓
FLA −30.4
–
–
Final
Tulane@#2Florida State
9.6%
90%
6
27
✓
FSU −20.5
–
–
Final
Utah State@Fresno State
17%
83%
18
43
✓
FRES −14.9
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@#17Georgia
33%
67%
35
62
✓
UGA −6.6
–
–
Final
Utah@Hawaii
56%
44%
17
20
✗
UTAH −2.9
–
–
Final
Houston@#15SMUUpset
14%
86%
29
20
✗
SMU −17.1
–
–
Final
Purdue@#21Illinois
24%
76%
20
34
✓
ILL −10.6
–
–
Final
#23Michigan@#13Iowa
31%
69%
0
26
✓
IOWA −7.5
–
–
Final
Kent State@Ohio
40%
60%
19
7
✗
OHIO −3.5
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@New Mexico State
60%
40%
43
13
✓
Long Beach State −4.7
–
–
Final
Louisiana@San Jose State
38%
62%
35
28
✗
SJSU −4.3
–
–
Final
#19LSU@#16Kentucky
39%
61%
36
10
✗
UK −3.9
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@#25Memphis
33%
67%
12
23
✓
MEM −6.4
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@#6Miami (FL)
11%
89%
7
27
✓
MIA −19.0
–
–
Final
#20Missouri@Kansas State
80%
20%
61
21
✓
MIZ −14.0
–
–
Final
#1Nebraska@Colorado
97%
3.0%
24
7
✓
NEB −30.5
–
–
Final
UNLV@Pacific
83%
17%
35
21
✓
UNLV −15.5
–
–
Final
NC State@North Carolina
40%
60%
21
28
✓
UNC −3.5
–
–
Final
Northwestern@Minnesota
35%
65%
31
28
✗
MINN −5.5
–
–
Final
#11Ohio State@Michigan State
77%
23%
23
20
✓
OSU −12.3
–
–
Final
#10Oklahoma@Iowa State
94%
6.0%
12
10
✓
OU −25.3
–
–
Final
Kansas@#8Oklahoma State
5.6%
94%
10
47
✓
OKST −25.0
–
–
Final
Syracuse@Penn State
38%
62%
3
21
✓
PSU −4.2
–
–
Final
Louisville@Rutgers
13%
87%
21
38
✓
RUTG −17.4
–
–
Final
Colorado State@San Diego State
17%
83%
24
41
✓
SDSU −14.8
–
–
Final
South Carolina@Notre Dame
44%
56%
36
32
✗
ND −1.9
–
–
Final
Arizona@USC
44%
56%
14
17
✓
USC −1.7
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Southern Miss
49%
51%
10
13
✓
MISS −0.1
–
–
Final
Alabama@Tennessee
47%
53%
27
28
✓
TENN −0.7
–
–
Final
#24Arkansas@#5Texas
24%
76%
18
24
✓
TEX −11.0
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@Rice
69%
31%
30
10
✓
TTU −8.4
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Toledo
14%
86%
7
17
✓
TOL −17.1
–
–
Final
Wichita State@Tulsa
4.1%
96%
20
55
✓
TLSA −27.6
–
–
Final
UCLA@California
55%
45%
17
14
✓
UCLA −2.5
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@Virginia
36%
64%
9
28
✓
UVA −5.2
–
–
Final
Oregon@#3Washington
8.3%
92%
10
17
✓
WASH −21.7
–
–
Final
Washington State@Stanford
38%
62%
49
42
✗
STAN −4.2
–
–
Final
#18Boston College@#14West Virginia
37%
63%
20
21
✓
WVU −4.9
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Indiana
74%
26%
20
16
✓
WIS −10.7
–
–
Final
New Mexico@Wyoming
52%
48%
21
59
✗
UNM −1.2
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Fri, Oct 19 · TBD West Texas at Southern Illinois Southern Illinois −11.2 77%
Sat, Oct 20 · TBD Pennsylvania at Army Army −18.7 88%
Sat, Oct 20 · TBD Cal State Fullerton at Nevada Nevada −0.3 52%
Sat, Oct 20 · TBD Delaware at Temple Temple −3.4 60%
Sat, Oct 20 · TBD East Tennessee State at East Carolina East Carolina −25.5 95%
Sat, Oct 20 · TBD Princeton at Navy Navy −29.1 97%
Sat, Oct 20 · TBD North Texas at TCU TCU −10.3 75%
Sat, Oct 20 · TBD William & Mary at Virginia Tech Virginia Tech −34.2 98%