The MRI
2026 · Week 11

Week 14 slate, 1992

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 14 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 4

Wilder than 4% of weeks in the archive.

0 upsets against 3.5 expected

  • Biggest shockHouston over Rice58% chance · won 61-34
  • Runner-upOle Miss over Mississippi State59% chance · won 17-10
  • Runner-upArkansas over LSU61% chance · won 30-6

Thu, Nov 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
7.7%
92%
0
17
✓
ALA −22.5
–
–
Final
62%
38%
34
13
✓
TA&M −5.4
–
–

Fri, Nov 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
39%
61%
6
30
✓
ARK −4.1
–
–
Final
69%
31%
33
9
✓
NEB −8.6
–
–

Sat, Nov 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 10 games

Final
11%
89%
24
45
✓
FSU −19.5
–
–
Final
82%
18%
43
18
✓
FRES −14.9
–
–
Final
11%
89%
17
31
✓
UGA −19.3
–
–
Final
23%
77%
9
38
✓
HAW −11.4
–
–
Final
42%
58%
34
61
✓
HOU −2.6
–
–
Final
81%
19%
63
17
✓
MIA −14.6
–
–
Final
41%
59%
10
17
✓
MISS −3.2
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@UNLV
13%
87%
16
33
✓
UNLV −17.3
–
–
Final
64%
36%
31
23
✓
ND −6.1
–
–
Final
76%
24%
29
25
✓
TENN −12.0
–
–