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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 2 slate, 1992

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 50 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3

Chaos 21

Wilder than 21% of weeks in the archive.

11 upsets against 14.2 expected

  • Biggest shockThe Citadel over Arkansas4.4% chance · won 10-3
  • Runner-upLouisiana Tech over Baylor31% chance · won 10-9
  • Runner-upHawaii over Oregon37% chance · won 24-21

Upsets

Thu, Sep 3

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
Western Michigan@Bowling Green
31%
69%
19
29
✓
BGSU −7.3
–
–
Final
#8Oklahoma@Texas Tech
62%
38%
34
9
✓
OU −5.1
–
–

Sat, Sep 5

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 40 games

Final
Rice@Air Force
32%
68%
21
30
✓
AF −6.7
–
–
Final
Akron@Eastern Michigan
39%
61%
27
9
✗
EMU −4.0
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@#15Alabama
21%
79%
8
25
✓
ALA −12.0
–
–
Final
Utah State@Arizona
33%
67%
3
49
✓
ARIZ −6.3
–
–
Final
Rutgers@Boston College
32%
68%
20
37
✓
BC −6.8
–
–
Final
#17BYU@UTEP
62%
38%
38
28
✓
BYU −5.2
–
–
Final
San Jose State@#10California
29%
71%
16
46
✓
CAL −8.0
–
–
Final
Ball State@#16Clemson
20%
80%
10
24
✓
CLEM −12.6
–
–
Final
Colorado State@#11Colorado
17%
83%
17
37
✓
COLO −14.3
–
–
Final
Duke@#3Florida State
12%
88%
21
48
✓
FSU −17.4
–
–
Final
Fresno State@Pacific
86%
14%
42
21
✓
FRES −16.9
–
–
Final
Georgia@South Carolina
48%
52%
28
6
✗
SC −0.4
–
–
Final
Hawaii@Oregon
37%
63%
24
21
✗
ORE −4.6
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@#23Illinois
14%
86%
14
30
✓
ILL −16.0
–
–
Final
Ohio@Iowa State
28%
72%
9
35
✓
ISU −8.6
–
–
Final
Kansas@Oregon State
66%
34%
49
20
✓
KU −7.1
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Kentucky
44%
56%
14
21
✓
UK −1.7
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@#24BaylorUpset
31%
69%
10
9
✗
BAY −7.1
–
–
Final
#1Miami (FL)@Iowa
91%
9.4%
24
7
✓
MIA −20.8
–
–
Final
West Virginia@Miami (OH)
45%
55%
29
29
✗
M-OH −1.3
–
–
Final
Auburn@Ole Miss
45%
55%
21
45
✓
MISS −1.5
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@#19TexasUpset
38%
62%
28
10
✗
TEX −4.4
–
–
Final
Utah@#7Nebraska
17%
83%
22
49
✓
NEB −14.3
–
–
Final
TCU@New Mexico
62%
38%
7
24
✗
TCU −5.3
–
–
Final
North Carolina@Wake Forest
60%
40%
35
17
✓
UNC −4.3
–
–
Final
#9Notre Dame@Northwestern
76%
24%
42
7
✓
ND −11.3
–
–
Final
Louisville@#22Ohio State
18%
82%
19
20
✓
OSU −13.7
–
–
Final
#5Penn State@Cincinnati
78%
22%
24
20
✓
PSU −12.5
–
–
Final
Kent State@Pittsburgh
18%
82%
10
51
✓
PITT −13.5
–
–
Final
San Diego State@USC
37%
63%
31
31
✗
USC −4.5
–
–
Final
Memphis@Southern Miss
45%
55%
21
23
✓
USM −1.6
–
–
Final
#14Syracuse@#21East Carolina
46%
54%
42
21
✗
ECU −1.1
–
–
Final
Louisiana@#12Tennessee
16%
84%
3
38
✓
TENN −14.9
–
–
Final
#25Texas A&M@LSU
50%
50%
31
22
✗
TA&M −0.5
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@Toledo
21%
79%
0
49
✓
TOL −12.2
–
–
Final
Tulane@SMU
42%
58%
13
12
✗
SMU −2.7
–
–
Final
Houston@Tulsa
44%
56%
25
28
✓
TLSA −1.9
–
–
Final
Maryland@#18Virginia
22%
78%
15
28
✓
UVA −11.5
–
–
Final
#2Washington@Arizona State
73%
27%
31
7
✓
WASH −9.9
–
–
Final
Nevada@Wyoming
49%
51%
6
25
✓
NEV −0.1
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Cal State Northridge at Cal State Fullerton Cal State Fullerton −5.4 65%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD The Citadel at Arkansas Arkansas −26.2 96%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Weber State at New Mexico State New Mexico State −22.7 93%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Appalachian State at NC State NC State −5.8 66%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Indiana State at Oklahoma State Oklahoma State −25.2 95%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Boston University at Temple Temple −19.8 90%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD James Madison at Virginia Tech Virginia Tech −12.8 80%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Montana at Washington State Washington State −26.6 96%