The MRI
2026 · Week 11

Week 10 slate, 1992

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 50 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 85

Wilder than 85% of weeks in the archive.

13 upsets against 13.3 expected

  • Biggest shockWeber State over Nevada1.5% chance · won 23-21
  • Runner-upUNLV over San Jose State15% chance · won 35-31
  • Runner-upSouth Carolina over Tennessee15% chance · won 24-23

Upsets

Thu, Oct 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
40%
60%
38
21
✗
ECU −3.5
–
–

Sat, Oct 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 48 games

Final
60%
40%
28
31
✗
CMU −4.7
–
–
Final
2.0%
98%
0
30
✓
ARIZ −32.7
–
–
Final
50%
50%
24
24
✗
AUB −0.4
–
–
Final
37%
63%
17
57
✓
ARMY −4.9
–
–
Final
64%
36%
24
21
✓
BALL −6.2
–
–
Final
3.1%
97%
6
45
✓
BC −29.7
–
–
Final
24%
76%
24
44
✓
BGSU −10.5
–
–
Final
72%
28%
17
30
✗
PSU −9.7
–
–
Final
24%
76%
12
48
✓
CAL −10.8
–
–
Final
57%
43%
24
26
✗
UGA −3.2
–
–
Final
64%
36%
13
3
✓
FSU −6.2
–
–
Final
26%
74%
31
42
✓
FRES −9.7
–
–
Final
29%
71%
17
20
✓
GT −8.4
–
–
Final
68%
32%
41
21
✓
HAW −8.1
–
–
Final
12%
88%
46
49
✓
HOU −18.8
–
–
Final
37%
63%
13
12
✗
WIS −4.8
–
–
Final
64%
36%
24
17
✓
IU −6.2
–
–
Final
47%
53%
14
28
✓
ISU −0.8
–
–
Final
5.1%
95%
18
26
✓
KU −25.8
–
–
Final
1.5%
98%
0
23
✓
LT −34.4
–
–
Final
50%
50%
27
17
✓
LOU −0.7
–
–
Final
74%
26%
62
20
✓
MEM −10.8
–
–
Final
7.9%
92%
23
35
✓
MIA −22.2
–
–
Final
92%
7.9%
24
17
✓
MICH −22.9
–
–
Final
57%
43%
27
26
✓
MSU −3.2
–
–
Final
33%
67%
0
32
✓
MISS −6.6
–
–
Final
62%
38%
37
36
✓
MSST −5.4
–
–
Final
30%
70%
7
52
✓
NEB −8.1
–
–
Final
85%
15%
31
35
✗
SJSU −17.2
–
–
Final
62%
38%
31
24
✓
UNC −5.2
–
–
Final
0.4%
>99%
7
38
✓
ND −42.7
–
–
Final
54%
46%
38
15
✓
OSU −2.1
–
–
Final
11%
89%
14
16
✓
OU −19.2
–
–
Final
28%
72%
34
17
✗
WSU −8.9
–
–
Final
49%
51%
49
50
✓
PK
–
–
Final
71%
29%
20
13
✓
SDSU −9.4
–
–
Final
85%
15%
23
24
✗
TENN −16.7
–
–
Final
51%
49%
23
13
✓
USC −0.8
–
–
Final
9.6%
90%
10
41
✓
SYR −20.4
–
–
Final
47%
53%
44
33
✗
TTU −0.7
–
–
Final
88%
12%
41
7
✓
TA&M −19.5
–
–
Final
6.2%
94%
17
32
✓
TOL −24.3
–
–
Final
16%
84%
9
27
✓
TLSA −15.2
–
–
Final
40%
60%
20
13
✗
AF −3.6
–
–
Final
Utah State@Cal State Fullerton
87%
13%
26
7
✓
USU −18.6
–
–
Final
65%
35%
15
18
✗
CLEM −6.7
–
–
Final
16%
84%
7
41
✓
WASH −15.8
–
–
Final
31%
70%
7
13
✓
WMU −7.7
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 31 · TBD Weber State at Nevada Nevada −34.7 98%