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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 3 slate, 1992

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 55 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 2

Chaos 91

Wilder than 91% of weeks in the archive.

19 upsets against 13.2 expected

  • Biggest shockIdaho over Colorado State11% chance · won 37-34
  • Runner-upOregon State over Fresno State14% chance · won 46-36
  • Runner-upWashington State over Arizona17% chance · won 23-20

Upsets

Thu, Sep 10

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
San Diego State@#20BYUUpset
26%
74%
45
38
✗
BYU −9.3
–
–

Sat, Sep 12

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 43 games

Final
Toledo@Akron
60%
40%
20
23
✗
TOL −4.5
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@#15Alabama
14%
86%
10
17
✓
ALA −16.2
–
–
Final
Arkansas@South Carolina
31%
69%
45
7
✗
SC −7.2
–
–
Final
Northwestern@Boston College
9.8%
90%
0
49
✓
BC −19.6
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Michigan State
36%
64%
24
20
✗
MSU −5.2
–
–
Final
#12Colorado@Baylor
61%
39%
57
38
✓
COLO −4.8
–
–
Final
#24Virginia Tech@East CarolinaUpset
55%
45%
27
30
✗
VT −2.4
–
–
Final
Kentucky@#17Florida
14%
86%
19
35
✓
FLA −16.7
–
–
Final
#3Florida State@#19Clemson
64%
36%
24
20
✓
FSU −6.0
–
–
Final
Hawaii@Air Force
31%
69%
6
3
✗
AF −7.3
–
–
Final
Missouri@Illinois
20%
80%
17
24
✓
ILL −12.7
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Indiana
26%
74%
0
16
✓
IU −9.5
–
–
Final
Iowa State@#25Iowa
21%
79%
7
21
✓
IOWA −12.1
–
–
Final
Ball State@#22Kansas
13%
87%
10
62
✓
KU −17.3
–
–
Final
#16Mississippi State@LSUUpset
66%
34%
3
24
✗
MSST −7.0
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Louisiana Tech
9.3%
91%
17
31
✓
LT −20.1
–
–
Final
Memphis@Louisville
56%
44%
15
16
✗
MEM −2.9
–
–
Final
#5Notre Dame@#13Michigan
58%
42%
17
17
✓
ND −3.7
–
–
Final
Tulane@Ole Miss
9.6%
90%
9
35
✓
MISS −19.9
–
–
Final
Pacific@Nevada
3.8%
96%
14
20
✓
NEV −27.4
–
–
Final
UTEP@UNLV
52%
48%
17
19
✗
UTEP −1.1
–
–
Final
New Mexico@New Mexico State
65%
35%
39
42
✗
UNM −6.5
–
–
Final
#21NC State@Maryland
75%
25%
14
10
✓
NCSU −10.9
–
–
Final
Ohio@Kent State
42%
58%
27
14
✗
KENT −2.7
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Ohio State
36%
64%
6
17
✓
OSU −5.1
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@#4Oklahoma
0.2%
>99%
0
61
✓
OU −44.2
–
–
Final
Fresno State@Oregon StateUpset
86%
14%
36
46
✗
FRES −16.9
–
–
Final
Temple@#10Penn State
5.9%
94%
8
49
✓
PSU −24.0
–
–
Final
#7California@PurdueUpset
82%
18%
14
41
✗
CAL −14.4
–
–
Final
San Jose State@Minnesota
52%
48%
39
30
✓
SJSU −1.2
–
–
Final
Oregon@#14Stanford
15%
85%
7
21
✓
STAN −15.7
–
–
Final
Texas@#9Syracuse
13%
87%
21
31
✓
SYR −16.7
–
–
Final
#11Tennessee@#18Georgia
48%
52%
34
31
✗
UGA −0.3
–
–
Final
Tulsa@#8Texas A&M
15%
85%
9
19
✓
TA&M −15.4
–
–
Final
Wyoming@Texas Tech
48%
52%
32
49
✓
TTU −0.1
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@UCLA
0.1%
>99%
14
37
✓
UCLA −51.5
–
–
Final
Utah@Utah State
59%
41%
42
18
✓
UTAH −4.0
–
–
Final
Duke@Vanderbilt
38%
62%
37
42
✓
VAN −4.2
–
–
Final
#23Virginia@Navy
79%
21%
53
0
✓
UVA −13.0
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@#2Washington
1.7%
98%
10
27
✓
WASH −32.9
–
–
Final
Washington State@ArizonaUpset
18%
82%
23
20
✗
ARIZ −14.0
–
–
Final
West Virginia@Pittsburgh
28%
72%
44
6
✗
PITT −8.6
–
–
Final
TCU@Western Michigan
41%
59%
17
17
✗
WMU −3.1
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Sep 12 · TBD Holy Cross at Army Army −18.9 89%
Sat, Sep 12 · TBD Samford at Auburn Auburn −24.1 94%
Sat, Sep 12 · TBD Western Carolina at Georgia Tech Georgia Tech −41.1 >99%
Sat, Sep 12 · TBD Idaho at Colorado State Colorado State −18.7 89%
Sat, Sep 12 · TBD Louisiana-Monroe at Louisiana Louisiana −0.8 53%
Sat, Sep 12 · TBD Middle Tennessee at #6 Nebraska Nebraska −32.9 98%
Sat, Sep 12 · TBD Furman at North Carolina North Carolina −30.4 98%
Sat, Sep 12 · TBD Illinois State at Northern Illinois Northern Illinois −15.4 85%
Sat, Sep 12 · TBD Colgate at Rutgers Rutgers −32.4 98%
Sat, Sep 12 · TBD North Texas at SMU North Texas −4.4 60%
Sat, Sep 12 · TBD Appalachian State at Wake Forest Wake Forest −1.2 54%