The MRI
2026 · Week 11

Week 9 slate, 1992

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 51 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 59

Wilder than 59% of weeks in the archive.

12 upsets against 12.4 expected

  • Biggest shockUTEP over Utah10% chance · won 20-13
  • Runner-upNorthwestern over Illinois14% chance · won 27-26
  • Runner-upPurdue over Iowa20% chance · won 27-16

Upsets

Sat, Oct 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 48 games

Final
20%
80%
20
17
✗
SDSU −12.7
–
–
Final
13%
87%
10
31
✓
ALA −17.9
–
–
Final
36%
64%
24
17
✗
CAL −5.3
–
–
Final
35%
65%
20
0
✗
UCLA −5.6
–
–
Final
6.5%
94%
24
25
✓
AUB −23.9
–
–
Final
62%
38%
23
24
✗
CMU −5.4
–
–
Final
89%
11%
17
13
✓
BC −20.4
–
–
Final
52%
48%
24
3
✓
BGSU −1.2
–
–
Final
9.0%
91%
7
54
✓
COLO −21.1
–
–
Final
45%
55%
37
31
✗
PITT −1.5
–
–
Final
41%
59%
6
7
✓
EMU −3.1
–
–
Final
15%
86%
17
31
✓
FLA −16.5
–
–
Final
11%
89%
28
31
✓
FRES −19.5
–
–
Final
70%
30%
40
7
✓
UGA −9.0
–
–
Final
6.9%
93%
25
55
✓
HAW −23.4
–
–
Final
35%
65%
3
10
✓
IU −5.5
–
–
Final
32%
68%
10
27
✓
KU −7.0
–
–
Final
37%
63%
27
25
✗
DUKE −4.8
–
–
Final
55%
45%
30
25
✓
MEM −2.4
–
–
Final
83%
17%
43
23
✓
MIA −15.7
–
–
Final
1.5%
98%
13
63
✓
MICH −34.7
–
–
Final
0.5%
>99%
6
56
✓
MSST −41.5
–
–
Final
88%
12%
34
24
✓
NEB −19.2
–
–
Final
21%
79%
21
35
✓
NEV −12.7
–
–
Final
32%
68%
14
26
✓
UNC −7.1
–
–
Final
40%
60%
6
20
✓
NCSU −3.7
–
–
Final
14%
86%
27
26
✗
ILL −16.5
–
–
Final
10%
90%
16
42
✓
ND −19.7
–
–
Final
62%
38%
27
17
✓
OSU −5.3
–
–
Final
46%
54%
21
27
✓
OKST −1.1
–
–
Final
60%
40%
40
26
✓
PSU −4.6
–
–
Final
20%
80%
27
16
✗
IOWA −12.9
–
–
Final
56%
44%
29
12
✓
RICE −2.7
–
–
Final
69%
31%
27
25
✓
SJSU −8.5
–
–
Final
34%
66%
21
17
✗
VAN −6.3
–
–
Final
30%
70%
21
31
✓
USC −8.0
–
–
Final
25%
75%
17
31
✓
USM −10.3
–
–
Final
92%
8.3%
27
21
✓
STAN −22.6
–
–
Final
90%
10%
38
7
✓
SYR −20.6
–
–
Final
40%
60%
38
45
✓
TEX −3.5
–
–
Final
22%
78%
13
19
✓
TA&M −11.6
–
–
Final
16%
84%
25
39
✓
TTU −15.7
–
–
Final
UTEP@UtahUpset
10%
90%
20
13
✗
UTAH −19.7
–
–
Final
43%
57%
20
17
✗
M-OH −2.4
–
–
Final
12%
88%
7
23
✓
WAKE −18.3
–
–
Final
Pacific@#1Washington
0.3%
>99%
7
31
✓
WASH −44.7
–
–
Final
74%
26%
26
13
✓
WMU −10.6
–
–
Final
45%
55%
31
14
✗
CSU −1.6
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 24 · TBD Navy at Delaware Delaware −18.2 88%
Sat, Oct 24 · TBD Liberty at Northern Illinois Northern Illinois −11.9 78%
Sat, Oct 24 · TBD William & Mary at #13 Virginia Virginia −43.5 >99%