The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 8 slate, 1992

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 50 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 98

Wilder than 98% of weeks in the archive.

22 upsets against 12.8 expected

  • Biggest shockCal State Fullerton over Louisiana5.6% chance · won 14-10
  • Runner-upSouth Carolina over Mississippi State16% chance · won 21-6
  • Runner-upArizona over Stanford18% chance · won 21-6

Upsets

Thu, Oct 15

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Southern Miss@Tulane
67%
33%
17
7
✓
USM −7.4
–
–

Sat, Oct 17

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 48 games

Final
Akron@Ball State
38%
62%
22
14
✗
BALL −4.5
–
–
Final
#12Alabama@#11Tennessee
37%
63%
17
10
✗
TENN −4.8
–
–
Final
Arizona@#8StanfordUpset
18%
82%
21
6
✗
STAN −14.1
–
–
Final
Oregon State@Arizona State
11%
89%
13
40
✓
ASU −19.1
–
–
Final
Houston@Baylor
39%
61%
23
29
✓
BAY −3.9
–
–
Final
#22Boston College@#7Penn StateUpset
20%
80%
35
32
✗
PSU −13.2
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Toledo
42%
58%
10
9
✗
TOL −2.7
–
–
Final
BYU@Wyoming
61%
39%
31
28
✓
BYU −4.8
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@LouisianaUpset
5.6%
94%
14
10
✗
UL −25.0
–
–
Final
Kent State@Central Michigan
5.7%
94%
0
35
✓
CMU −24.9
–
–
Final
Duke@#19Clemson
15%
85%
6
21
✓
CLEM −16.1
–
–
Final
Colorado State@Air ForceUpset
23%
77%
32
28
✗
AF −11.1
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@East Carolina
37%
63%
21
42
✓
ECU −4.9
–
–
Final
Auburn@#25Florida
28%
72%
9
24
✓
FLA −8.8
–
–
Final
#4Florida State@Georgia Tech
84%
16%
29
24
✓
FSU −16.6
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@#14Georgia
6.4%
94%
20
30
✓
UGA −24.0
–
–
Final
Fresno State@Hawaii
51%
49%
45
47
✗
FRES −1.0
–
–
Final
Iowa@Illinois
38%
62%
24
14
✗
ILL −4.5
–
–
Final
#10Kansas@Iowa State
87%
13%
50
47
✓
KU −18.2
–
–
Final
Kentucky@LSU
32%
68%
27
25
✗
LSU −7.1
–
–
Final
Tulsa@Louisville
41%
59%
27
32
✓
LOU −3.3
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@Memphis
0.7%
99%
7
37
✓
MEM −39.4
–
–
Final
TCU@#2Miami (FL)
0.9%
99%
10
45
✓
MIA −38.1
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Ohio
75%
25%
23
21
✓
M-OH −11.3
–
–
Final
#3Michigan@Indiana
80%
20%
31
3
✓
MICH −13.7
–
–
Final
Michigan State@Minnesota
44%
56%
20
15
✗
MINN −1.8
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Arkansas
49%
51%
17
3
✗
MISS −0.1
–
–
Final
Nevada@UNLV
61%
39%
14
10
✓
NEV −4.9
–
–
Final
Utah@New MexicoUpset
80%
20%
7
24
✗
UTAH −13.8
–
–
Final
#9Virginia@North CarolinaUpset
73%
27%
7
27
✗
UVA −10.1
–
–
Final
Virginia Tech@#20NC State
25%
75%
13
13
✗
NCSU −10.1
–
–
Final
Northwestern@Ohio State
9.0%
91%
7
31
✓
OSU −21.0
–
–
Final
#13Colorado@#18Oklahoma
44%
56%
24
24
✗
OU −2.0
–
–
Final
Missouri@Oklahoma State
53%
47%
26
28
✗
MIZ −1.7
–
–
Final
Pacific@New Mexico State
27%
73%
49
17
✗
NMSU −9.2
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@Temple
61%
39%
27
20
✓
PITT −5.1
–
–
Final
Army@Rutgers
13%
87%
10
45
✓
RUTG −17.3
–
–
Final
UTEP@San Diego State
7.4%
93%
27
49
✓
SDSU −22.8
–
–
Final
#21Mississippi State@South CarolinaUpset
84%
16%
6
21
✗
MSST −16.3
–
–
Final
#17California@#16USC
38%
62%
24
27
✓
USC −4.4
–
–
Final
#23Syracuse@#24West Virginia
39%
61%
20
17
✗
WVU −4.1
–
–
Final
Rice@#15Texas A&M
12%
88%
9
35
✓
TA&M −18.2
–
–
Final
Kansas State@Utah State
69%
31%
16
28
✗
KSU −8.5
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@Maryland
32%
68%
30
23
✗
MD −7.0
–
–
Final
#1Washington@Oregon
87%
13%
24
3
✓
WASH −18.6
–
–
Final
UCLA@Washington State
39%
61%
17
30
✓
WSU −4.0
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Western Michigan
12%
88%
19
20
✓
WMU −18.6
–
–
Final
Purdue@Wisconsin
26%
74%
16
19
✓
WIS −9.8
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 17 · TBD East Tennessee State at Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech −31.2 98%