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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 13 slate, 1992

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 42 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 97

Wilder than 97% of weeks in the archive.

14 upsets against 11.6 expected

  • Biggest shockNew Mexico State over San Jose State10% chance · won 34-24
  • Runner-upArkansas State over Louisiana14% chance · won 20-7
  • Runner-upWashington State over Washington17% chance · won 42-23

Upsets

Sat, Nov 21

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 40 games

Final
Akron@Cincinnati
40%
60%
24
22
✗
CIN −3.6
–
–
Final
#24Arizona State@#16Arizona
27%
73%
7
6
✗
ARIZ −9.2
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@LouisianaUpset
14%
86%
20
7
✗
UL −16.9
–
–
Final
Texas@Baylor
37%
63%
20
21
✓
BAY −5.0
–
–
Final
Boston College@Army
80%
20%
41
24
✓
BC −14.1
–
–
Final
#21BYU@Utah
54%
46%
31
22
✓
BYU −2.2
–
–
Final
Iowa State@#12Colorado
9.3%
91%
10
31
✓
COLO −20.7
–
–
Final
Colorado State@New Mexico
37%
63%
14
10
✗
UNM −5.0
–
–
Final
#25Florida@Vanderbilt
59%
41%
41
21
✓
FLA −4.2
–
–
Final
Fresno State@San Diego State
40%
60%
45
41
✗
SDSU −3.6
–
–
Final
Wyoming@Hawaii
29%
71%
18
42
✓
HAW −8.5
–
–
Final
Michigan State@Illinois
35%
65%
10
14
✓
ILL −5.8
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@Kansas State
37%
63%
0
10
✓
KSU −4.9
–
–
Final
Tulane@LSU
16%
84%
12
24
✓
LSU −15.2
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Memphis
20%
80%
7
42
✓
MEM −13.0
–
–
Final
#1Miami (FL)@#10Syracuse
61%
39%
16
10
✓
MIA −5.1
–
–
Final
#14Ohio State@#4Michigan
17%
83%
13
13
✗
MICH −14.5
–
–
Final
Iowa@Minnesota
70%
30%
13
28
✗
IOWA −8.8
–
–
Final
#19Kansas@MissouriUpset
72%
28%
17
22
✗
KU −9.8
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@San Jose StateUpset
10%
90%
34
24
✗
SJSU −20.0
–
–
Final
North Carolina@Duke
59%
41%
31
28
✓
UNC −4.0
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@#18NC State
18%
82%
14
42
✓
NCSU −14.4
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Northwestern
66%
34%
25
27
✗
WIS −7.1
–
–
Final
Oregon@Oregon State
75%
25%
7
0
✓
ORE −11.1
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@#8Penn State
4.0%
96%
13
57
✓
PSU −27.6
–
–
Final
Indiana@Purdue
42%
58%
10
13
✓
PUR −2.7
–
–
Final
Navy@Rice
5.8%
94%
22
27
✓
RICE −24.9
–
–
Final
Rutgers@Temple
78%
22%
35
10
✓
RUTG −12.6
–
–
Final
South Carolina@ClemsonUpset
17%
83%
24
13
✗
CLEM −14.7
–
–
Final
SMU@Arkansas
25%
75%
24
19
✗
ARK −10.2
–
–
Final
#13Stanford@#22California
50%
50%
41
21
✗
STAN −0.5
–
–
Final
Kentucky@#15Tennessee
8.1%
92%
13
34
✓
TENN −22.0
–
–
Final
TCU@#9Texas A&M
4.6%
95%
10
37
✓
TA&M −26.6
–
–
Final
Houston@Texas Tech
40%
60%
35
44
✓
TTU −3.6
–
–
Final
Toledo@Northern Illinois
59%
41%
25
8
✓
TOL −4.0
–
–
Final
#17USC@UCLAUpset
62%
38%
37
38
✗
USC −5.2
–
–
Final
Utah State@Pacific
53%
46%
38
35
✓
USU −1.9
–
–
Final
#20Virginia@Virginia Tech
53%
47%
41
38
✓
UVA −1.7
–
–
Final
#2Washington@Washington StateUpset
83%
17%
23
42
✗
WASH −16.0
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@West Virginia
22%
78%
3
23
✓
WVU −11.9
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD Texas Southern at Nevada Nevada −18.0 88%
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD Montana State at UNLV UNLV −8.7 72%