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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 6 slate, 1992

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 50 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 29

Wilder than 29% of weeks in the archive.

13 upsets against 13.5 expected

  • Biggest shockNorthwestern over Purdue18% chance · won 28-14
  • Runner-upStanford over Notre Dame19% chance · won 33-16
  • Runner-upMiddle Tennessee over Northern Illinois22% chance · won 21-13

Upsets

Thu, Oct 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#15Florida@Mississippi StateUpset
57%
43%
6
30
✗
FLA −2.8
–
–

Fri, Oct 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Utah State@BYU
10%
90%
9
30
✓
BYU −20.9
–
–

Sat, Oct 3

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 44 games

Final
Air Force@UTEP
71%
29%
28
22
✓
AF −8.9
–
–
Final
Akron@Ohio
68%
32%
13
0
✓
AKR −7.9
–
–
Final
South Carolina@#13Alabama
5.7%
94%
7
48
✓
ALA −26.4
–
–
Final
#18UCLA@ArizonaUpset
58%
42%
3
23
✗
UCLA −3.1
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@Auburn
40%
60%
7
31
✓
AUB −4.5
–
–
Final
SMU@Baylor
28%
72%
7
49
✓
BAY −10.0
–
–
Final
#23West Virginia@#20Boston College
38%
62%
24
24
✗
BC −5.2
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Central Michigan
33%
67%
17
14
✗
CMU −7.2
–
–
Final
Oregon State@#19California
7.7%
92%
0
42
✓
CAL −23.7
–
–
Final
Kent State@Cincinnati
15%
85%
0
31
✓
CIN −17.1
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@Fresno State
35%
65%
14
48
✓
FRES −6.6
–
–
Final
#17Georgia@Arkansas
76%
24%
27
3
✓
UGA −11.7
–
–
Final
NC State@Georgia Tech
58%
42%
13
16
✗
NCSU −3.1
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Houston
14%
86%
7
63
✓
HOU −17.9
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@Kansas State
11%
89%
0
19
✓
KSU −20.6
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@Maryland
44%
56%
34
47
✓
MD −2.4
–
–
Final
#5Florida State@#2Miami (FL)
33%
67%
16
19
✓
MIA −7.4
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Eastern Michigan
68%
32%
24
7
✓
M-OH −7.5
–
–
Final
Iowa@#4Michigan
9.8%
90%
28
52
✓
MICH −21.5
–
–
Final
Indiana@Michigan State
60%
40%
31
42
✗
IU −4.3
–
–
Final
Illinois@Minnesota
59%
41%
17
18
✗
ILL −3.7
–
–
Final
Kentucky@Ole Miss
37%
63%
14
24
✓
MISS −5.5
–
–
Final
Nevada@Cal State Fullerton
90%
9.9%
19
0
✓
NEV −21.3
–
–
Final
UNLV@Pacific
41%
59%
21
17
✗
Pacific −3.7
–
–
Final
Navy@North Carolina
4.7%
95%
14
28
✓
UNC −27.8
–
–
Final
Northwestern@PurdueUpset
18%
82%
28
14
✗
PUR −15.6
–
–
Final
Iowa State@#11Oklahoma
7.2%
93%
3
17
✓
OU −24.4
–
–
Final
Arizona State@Oregon
38%
62%
20
30
✓
ORE −5.1
–
–
Final
#6Penn State@Rutgers
82%
18%
38
24
✓
PSU −15.0
–
–
Final
San Diego State@New Mexico
67%
33%
49
21
✓
SDSU −7.1
–
–
Final
San Jose State@Wyoming
55%
45%
26
24
✓
SJSU −1.8
–
–
Final
Tulsa@Southern Miss
38%
62%
24
33
✓
USM −5.4
–
–
Final
#16Stanford@#3Notre DameUpset
19%
81%
33
16
✗
ND −14.8
–
–
Final
#24Syracuse@Louisville
74%
26%
15
9
✓
SYR −10.5
–
–
Final
#7Tennessee@LSU
77%
23%
20
0
✓
TENN −12.3
–
–
Final
Texas@Rice
49%
51%
23
21
✗
RICE −0.4
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@#12Texas A&M
19%
81%
17
19
✓
TA&M −14.5
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@TCU
41%
59%
11
13
✓
TCU −3.8
–
–
Final
Utah@Colorado State
72%
28%
33
29
✓
UTAH −9.6
–
–
Final
#9Virginia@Wake Forest
92%
8.1%
31
17
✓
UVA −23.1
–
–
Final
#22USC@#1Washington
11%
89%
10
17
✓
WASH −20.3
–
–
Final
Temple@Washington State
17%
83%
10
51
✓
WSU −16.2
–
–
Final
Ball State@Western Michigan
34%
66%
14
21
✓
WMU −6.9
–
–
Final
#21Ohio State@WisconsinUpset
63%
37%
16
20
✗
OSU −5.6
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 3 · TBD Chattanooga at #25 Clemson Clemson −40.1 99%
Sat, Oct 3 · TBD Middle Tennessee at Northern Illinois Northern Illinois −13.0 78%
Sat, Oct 3 · TBD Marshall at Missouri Missouri −9.3 71%
Sat, Oct 3 · TBD Northwestern State at Arkansas State Northwestern State −0.3 51%