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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 5 slate, 1992

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 51 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 81

Wilder than 81% of weeks in the archive.

16 upsets against 14.2 expected

  • Biggest shockNorthern Iowa over Iowa State6.1% chance · won 27-10
  • Runner-upColorado State over LSU10% chance · won 17-14
  • Runner-upThe Citadel over Army17% chance · won 15-14

Upsets

Thu, Sep 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#17California@#6KansasUpset
25%
75%
27
23
✗
KU −11.5
–
–

Sat, Sep 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 42 games

Final
New Mexico@Air Force
16%
84%
32
33
✓
AF −16.9
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@#13Alabama
18%
82%
0
13
✓
ALA −15.6
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Auburn
40%
60%
8
16
✓
AUB −4.3
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Ball State
58%
42%
9
19
✗
M-OH −3.2
–
–
Final
Michigan State@#16Boston College
14%
86%
0
14
✓
BC −18.0
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Bowling Green
50%
50%
34
44
✗
PK
–
–
Final
Toledo@Central Michigan
47%
53%
9
28
✓
CMU −1.3
–
–
Final
Iowa@#15Colorado
32%
68%
12
28
✓
COLO −7.9
–
–
Final
Colorado State@LSUUpset
10%
90%
17
14
✗
LSU −21.0
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@#3Florida State
2.0%
98%
7
35
✓
FSU −34.3
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@#22Georgia
31%
69%
11
37
✓
UGA −8.2
–
–
Final
#19Clemson@Georgia TechUpset
68%
32%
16
20
✗
CLEM −7.7
–
–
Final
BYU@Hawaii
48%
52%
32
36
✓
HAW −1.1
–
–
Final
Missouri@Indiana
23%
77%
10
20
✓
IU −12.2
–
–
Final
Temple@Kansas State
24%
76%
14
35
✓
KSU −11.9
–
–
Final
Kent State@Eastern Michigan
29%
71%
17
14
✗
EMU −9.4
–
–
Final
South Carolina@Kentucky
20%
80%
9
13
✓
UK −13.9
–
–
Final
Arkansas@Memphis
38%
62%
6
22
✓
MEM −5.4
–
–
Final
Arizona@#1Miami (FL)
3.1%
97%
7
8
✓
MIA −31.1
–
–
Final
Houston@#7Michigan
20%
80%
7
61
✓
MICH −14.0
–
–
Final
Arizona State@#8Nebraska
17%
83%
24
45
✓
NEB −15.8
–
–
Final
NC State@North Carolina
47%
53%
27
20
✗
UNC −1.5
–
–
Final
Purdue@#4Notre Dame
15%
85%
0
48
✓
ND −17.5
–
–
Final
Tulsa@Oklahoma State
62%
38%
19
24
✗
TLSA −4.8
–
–
Final
UNLV@Oregon
20%
80%
6
59
✓
ORE −13.9
–
–
Final
Maryland@#5Penn State
8.7%
91%
13
49
✓
PSU −22.6
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Pittsburgh
37%
63%
33
41
✓
PITT −5.4
–
–
Final
Rutgers@Navy
73%
27%
40
0
✓
RUTG −10.1
–
–
Final
TCU@SMU
47%
53%
9
21
✓
SMU −1.2
–
–
Final
San Jose State@#21Stanford
30%
70%
13
37
✓
STAN −8.7
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@#9Tennessee
9.2%
91%
0
40
✓
TENN −22.1
–
–
Final
Baylor@Texas Tech
50%
50%
17
36
✓
TTU −0.3
–
–
Final
Nevada@Tulane
56%
44%
17
34
✗
NEV −2.3
–
–
Final
San Diego State@#25UCLA
40%
60%
7
35
✓
UCLA −4.2
–
–
Final
Oregon State@Utah
31%
69%
9
42
✓
UTAH −8.2
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@Utah State
58%
42%
21
48
✗
NMSU −3.2
–
–
Final
#10Virginia@Duke
83%
17%
55
28
✓
UVA −15.7
–
–
Final
Washington State@Fresno State
30%
70%
39
37
✗
FRES −8.7
–
–
Final
West Virginia@#24Virginia TechUpset
39%
61%
16
7
✗
VT −4.7
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Ohio
63%
37%
19
3
✓
WMU −5.5
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Wisconsin
18%
82%
17
18
✓
WIS −15.6
–
–
Final
Wyoming@Louisville
46%
54%
26
24
✗
LOU −1.9
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Sep 26 · TBD Southern Illinois at Arkansas State Arkansas State −7.4 67%
Sat, Sep 26 · TBD The Citadel at Army Army −15.8 83%
Sat, Sep 26 · TBD Western Kentucky at Louisiana Louisiana −8.0 68%
Sat, Sep 26 · TBD Northern Iowa at Iowa State Iowa State −25.8 94%
Sat, Sep 26 · TBD Missouri State at Pacific Missouri State −9.3 72%
Sat, Sep 26 · TBD Sam Houston at Rice Rice −15.8 83%
Sat, Sep 26 · TBD Sacramento State at Cal State Fullerton Sacramento State −20.2 89%
Sat, Sep 26 · TBD North Texas at Texas Texas −13.2 79%