The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 1992

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 19 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 49

Wilder than 49% of weeks in the archive.

7 upsets against 7.4 expected

  • Biggest shockAlabama over Miami (FL)33% chance · won 34-13
  • Runner-upBaylor over Arizona35% chance · won 20-15
  • Runner-upFlorida over NC State39% chance · won 27-10

Upsets

Sat, Dec 5

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#24Floridavs#7Alabama
24%
76%
21
28
✓
ALA −10.9
–
–

Fri, Dec 18

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
NevadavsBowling Green
19%
81%
34
35
✓
BGSU −13.8
–
–

Fri, Dec 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#19BYUvs#20Kansas
49%
51%
20
23
✓
BYU −0.2
–
–

Tue, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
#23Fresno Statevs#18USC
42%
58%
24
7
✗
USC −2.9
–
–
Final
UtahvsWashington State
38%
62%
28
31
✓
WSU −4.2
–
–

Wed, Dec 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
IllinoisvsHawaii
43%
57%
17
27
✓
HAW −2.5
–
–

Thu, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 4 games

Final
#17ArizonavsBaylorUpset
65%
35%
15
20
✗
ARIZ −6.8
–
–
Final
#16NC Statevs#24Florida
61%
39%
10
27
✗
NCSU −4.9
–
–
Final
Air ForcevsOle Miss
31%
69%
0
13
✓
MISS −7.5
–
–
Final
OregonvsWake Forest
60%
40%
35
39
✗
ORE −4.6
–
–

Fri, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 8 games

Final
#1Miami (FL)vs#7Alabama
67%
33%
13
34
✗
MIA −7.5
–
–
Final
#4Nebraskavs#2Florida State
44%
56%
14
27
✓
FSU −1.7
–
–
Final
#14Ohio Statevs#12Georgia
47%
53%
14
21
✓
UGA −0.5
–
–
Final
#6Washingtonvs#5Michigan
47%
53%
31
38
✓
MICH −0.8
–
–
Final
#9Texas A&Mvs#3Notre Dame
34%
66%
3
28
✓
ND −6.1
–
–
Final
#8Penn Statevs#10Stanford
53%
47%
3
24
✗
PSU −1.8
–
–
Final
#13Coloradovs#11Syracuse
48%
52%
22
26
✓
SYR −0.5
–
–
Final
Boston Collegevs#15Tennessee
36%
64%
23
38
✓
TENN −5.3
–
–

Sat, Jan 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Mississippi StatevsNorth Carolina
52%
48%
17
21
✗
MSST −1.1
–
–