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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 7 slate, 1992

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 49 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 63

Wilder than 63% of weeks in the archive.

10 upsets against 12.3 expected

  • Biggest shockArkansas over Tennessee3.7% chance · won 25-24
  • Runner-upClemson over Virginia21% chance · won 29-28
  • Runner-upKent State over Akron21% chance · won 20-16

Upsets

Thu, Oct 8

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#14Colorado@Missouri
78%
22%
6
0
✓
COLO −12.8
–
–

Sat, Oct 10

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 44 games

Final
Navy@Air Force
5.4%
95%
16
18
✓
AF −26.7
–
–
Final
#12Alabama@Tulane
90%
10%
37
0
✓
ALA −21.0
–
–
Final
Pacific@Arizona State
8.8%
91%
5
39
✓
ASU −22.5
–
–
Final
Arkansas@#7TennesseeUpset
3.7%
96%
25
24
✗
TENN −29.7
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Ball State
19%
81%
7
31
✓
BALL −14.8
–
–
Final
Baylor@TCU
66%
34%
41
20
✓
BAY −6.8
–
–
Final
Ohio@Bowling Green
8.8%
91%
14
31
✓
BGSU −22.5
–
–
Final
Fresno State@BYU
47%
53%
24
36
✓
BYU −1.5
–
–
Final
Clemson@#9VirginiaUpset
21%
79%
29
28
✗
UVA −13.7
–
–
Final
UTEP@Colorado State
38%
62%
24
42
✓
CSU −5.3
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Duke
52%
48%
14
45
✗
ECU −0.8
–
–
Final
LSU@#24Florida
25%
75%
21
28
✓
FLA −11.5
–
–
Final
North Carolina@#4Florida State
8.1%
92%
13
36
✓
FSU −23.2
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@Maryland
44%
56%
28
26
✗
MD −2.5
–
–
Final
Illinois@#22Ohio StateUpset
26%
74%
18
16
✗
OSU −10.6
–
–
Final
Indiana@Northwestern
62%
38%
28
3
✓
IU −4.9
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Iowa
33%
67%
22
23
✓
IOWA −7.3
–
–
Final
Kansas State@#11Kansas
13%
87%
7
31
✓
KU −18.6
–
–
Final
Akron@Kent StateUpset
79%
21%
16
20
✗
AKR −13.2
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Louisiana Tech
15%
85%
7
21
✓
LT −17.1
–
–
Final
Virginia Tech@Louisville
68%
32%
17
21
✗
VT −7.8
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@Memphis
31%
70%
14
34
✓
MEM −8.6
–
–
Final
#1Miami (FL)@#6Penn State
51%
49%
17
14
✓
MIA −0.2
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Miami (OH)
50%
50%
13
16
✓
M-OH −0.2
–
–
Final
Michigan State@#3Michigan
3.5%
96%
10
35
✓
MICH −30.1
–
–
Final
Auburn@#20Mississippi State
28%
72%
7
14
✓
MSST −9.8
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@#8Nebraska
4.7%
95%
0
55
✓
NEB −27.8
–
–
Final
UNLV@New Mexico State
43%
57%
10
40
✓
NMSU −2.9
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@NC State
37%
63%
13
48
✓
NCSU −5.6
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Northern Illinois
67%
33%
10
23
✗
USM −7.4
–
–
Final
#5Notre Dame@Pittsburgh
86%
14%
52
21
✓
ND −17.9
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Purdue
37%
63%
20
24
✓
PUR −5.6
–
–
Final
SMU@Rice
26%
74%
13
28
✓
RICE −11.1
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@San Jose State
0.6%
99%
3
49
✓
SJSU −42.0
–
–
Final
Oregon@#18USC
28%
72%
10
32
✓
USC −9.7
–
–
Final
#10Stanford@#23UCLA
59%
41%
19
7
✓
STAN −3.6
–
–
Final
Rutgers@#25Syracuse
23%
77%
28
50
✓
SYR −12.3
–
–
Final
#13Oklahoma@TexasUpset
67%
33%
24
34
✗
OU −7.2
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Toledo
34%
66%
12
21
✓
TOL −6.8
–
–
Final
Hawaii@Utah
40%
60%
17
38
✓
UTAH −4.2
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@VanderbiltUpset
24%
76%
40
6
✗
VAN −12.1
–
–
Final
#17California@#2Washington
18%
82%
16
35
✓
WASH −15.1
–
–
Final
Washington State@Oregon State
74%
26%
35
10
✓
WSU −10.8
–
–
Final
New Mexico@Wyoming
25%
75%
21
35
✓
WYO −11.2
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 10 · TBD Lafayette at Army Army −14.2 80%
Sat, Oct 10 · TBD Georgia Southern at #16 Georgia Georgia −28.2 96%
Sat, Oct 10 · TBD Troy at Arkansas State Troy −10.5 74%
Sat, Oct 10 · TBD Missouri State at Tulsa Tulsa −21.1 90%