Week 11 slate, 1992
The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 50 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.
Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.
Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2
Chaos 28
Wilder than 28% of weeks in the archive.
11 upsets against 13.5 expected
- Biggest shockArizona over Washington23% chance · won 16-3
- Runner-upTCU over Texas23% chance · won 23-14
- Runner-upYoungstown State over Ohio25% chance · won 28-20
Upsets
- Washington 3, Arizona 16Arizona won; the model gave them 23% before kickoff
- California 17, Oregon 37#14 California lost to unranked Oregon
- Texas 14, TCU 23TCU won; the model gave them 23% before kickoff
- Arizona State 18, Washington State 20#25 Arizona State lost to unranked Washington State
No games match.
Thu, Nov 5
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 1 game
Sat, Nov 7
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 48 games
Final
Cal State Fullerton@Pacific
6.1%
94%
94%
20
23
23
✓
Pacific −24.4
–
–
Against FCS opponents
| When | Game | Model | Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 7 · TBD | Youngstown State at |
Ohio −10.5 | 75% |