Week 12 slate, 1992
The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 50 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.
Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the
favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood
that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.
Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2
Chaos 54
Wilder than 54% of weeks in the archive.
10 upsets against 13.9 expected
- Biggest shockIowa State over Nebraska6.0% chance · won 19-10
- Runner-upOklahoma State over Oklahoma10% chance · won 15-15
- Runner-upUCLA over Oregon27% chance · won 9-6
No games match.
Thu, Nov 12
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 1 game
Final
73%
27%
38
30
✓
TA&M −10.3
–
–
Sat, Nov 14
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 48 games
Final
70%
30%
30
21
✓
ALA −8.6
–
–
Final
47%
53%
12
28
✓
ASU −0.8
–
–
Final
49%
51%
14
21
✓
PK
–
–
Final
18%
82%
6
38
✓
BGSU −14.2
–
–
Final
59%
41%
28
7
✓
BYU −4.2
–
–
Final
48%
52%
13
17
✓
CIN −0.3
–
–
Final
42%
58%
25
18
✗
KU −2.7
–
–
Final
18%
82%
24
35
✓
CSU −14.4
–
–
Final
2.4%
98%
18
35
✓
ECU −31.5
–
–
Final
15%
85%
9
14
✓
FLA −16.0
–
–
Final
0.5%
>99%
7
70
✓
FSU −41.3
–
–
Final
72%
28%
14
10
✓
UGA −9.9
–
–
Final
89%
11%
22
22
✓
MICH −19.9
–
–
Final
15%
85%
14
56
✓
IOWA −15.8
–
–
Final
94%
6.0%
10
19
✗
NEB −25.2
–
–
Final
48%
52%
31
16
✗
PITT −0.5
–
–
Final
72%
28%
23
53
✗
CLEM −9.6
–
–
Final
0.2%
>99%
0
48
✓
MIA −45.5
–
–
Final
10%
90%
14
31
✓
M-OH −19.8
–
–
Final
40%
60%
13
35
✓
MSU −3.4
–
–
Final
25%
75%
6
13
✓
MISS −10.3
–
–
Final
42%
58%
14
27
✓
MIZ −2.7
–
–
Final
45%
55%
47
48
✓
NEV −1.4
–
–
Final
33%
67%
14
35
✓
UNM −6.6
–
–
Final
12%
88%
31
44
✓
NMSU −18.7
–
–
Final
10%
90%
27
45
✓
NCSU −20.0
–
–
Final
21%
79%
16
17
✓
ND −12.4
–
–
Final
63%
37%
27
10
✓
OSU −5.7
–
–
Final
10%
90%
15
15
✗
OU −19.9
–
–
Final
47%
53%
31
34
✓
RICE −0.6
–
–
Final
56%
44%
9
13
✗
WVU −2.9
–
–
Final
37%
63%
28
52
✓
SDSU −4.7
–
–
Final
71%
29%
28
27
✓
SJSU −9.2
–
–
Final
42%
58%
7
14
✓
USC −2.8
–
–
Final
36%
64%
13
12
✗
VT −5.4
–
–
Final
23%
77%
3
40
✓
STAN −11.5
–
–
Final
51%
49%
27
10
✓
SYR −0.8
–
–
Final
56%
44%
26
21
✓
TENN −3.0
–
–
Final
14%
86%
14
35
✓
TEX −16.7
–
–
Final
55%
45%
31
28
✓
TTU −2.6
–
–
Final
7.2%
93%
0
41
✓
TOL −23.0
–
–
Final
27%
73%
9
6
✗
ORE −9.2
–
–
Final
36%
64%
7
38
✓
UTAH −5.4
–
–
Final
70%
30%
27
7
✓
VAN −8.8
–
–
Final
36%
64%
23
10
✗
GT −5.2
–
–
Final
0.6%
99%
16
45
✓
WASH −40.0
–
–
Final
56%
44%
14
19
✗
CMU −2.7
–
–
Final
24%
76%
6
34
✓
WIS −11.0
–
–
Against FCS opponents
| When | Game |
Model | Win |
|---|
| Sat, Nov 14 · TBD |
Akron at Youngstown State |
Akron −13.5 |
79% |