The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 1995

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 19 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 9

Wilder than 9% of weeks in the archive.

6 upsets against 7.1 expected

  • Biggest shockTennessee over Ohio State36% chance · won 20-14
  • Runner-upIowa over Washington39% chance · won 38-18
  • Runner-upTexas A&M over Michigan44% chance · won 22-20

Upsets

Sat, Dec 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Arkansasvs#2Florida
5.1%
95%
3
34
✓
FLA −25.8
–
–

Thu, Dec 14

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
NevadavsToledo
48%
52%
37
40
✓
TOL −0.2
–
–

Mon, Dec 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#24UCLAvsKansasUpset
55%
45%
30
51
✗
UCLA −2.6
–
–

Wed, Dec 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Air Forcevs#20Texas Tech
38%
62%
41
55
✓
TTU −4.4
–
–

Thu, Dec 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#10Michiganvs#14Texas A&M
56%
44%
20
22
✗
MICH −2.8
–
–

Fri, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
#18WashingtonvsIowaUpset
61%
39%
18
38
✗
WASH −4.8
–
–
Final
Colorado Statevs#9Kansas State
27%
73%
21
54
✓
KSU −9.1
–
–
Final
Michigan Statevs#22LSU
36%
64%
26
45
✓
LSU −5.4
–
–

Sat, Dec 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
StanfordvsEast Carolina
54%
46%
13
19
✗
STAN −2.2
–
–
Final
ArkansasvsNorth Carolina
48%
52%
10
20
✓
UNC −0.2
–
–
Final
Georgiavs#19Virginia
32%
68%
27
34
✓
UVA −7.1
–
–

Sun, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#17Texasvs#16Virginia Tech
48%
52%
10
28
✓
VT −0.5
–
–

Mon, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 6 games

Final
#23Oregonvs#7Colorado
26%
74%
6
38
✓
COLO −9.6
–
–
Final
#6Notre Damevs#3Florida State
30%
70%
26
31
✓
FSU −7.8
–
–
Final
#15Auburnvs#8Penn State
39%
61%
14
43
✓
PSU −4.1
–
–
Final
#11Northwesternvs#13USC
55%
45%
32
41
✗
NU −2.6
–
–
Final
Clemsonvs#21Syracuse
42%
58%
0
41
✓
SYR −2.8
–
–
Final
#4Ohio Statevs#5Tennessee
64%
36%
14
20
✗
OSU −6.3
–
–

Tue, Jan 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#2Floridavs#1Nebraska
38%
62%
24
62
✓
NEB −4.2
–
–