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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 14 slate, 1995

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 22 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 15

Wilder than 15% of weeks in the archive.

5 upsets against 6.4 expected

  • Biggest shockMichigan over Ohio State30% chance · won 31-23
  • Runner-upWisconsin over Illinois37% chance · won 3-3
  • Runner-upArizona over Arizona State40% chance · won 31-28

Thu, Nov 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
Georgia@Georgia Tech
56%
44%
18
17
✓
UGA −2.9
–
–
Final
Baylor@#18Texas
33%
67%
13
21
✓
TEX −6.5
–
–

Fri, Nov 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 6 games

Final
Arizona@Arizona State
40%
60%
31
28
✗
ASU −3.6
–
–
Final
Boston College@Rutgers
60%
40%
41
38
✓
BC −4.6
–
–
Final
Oklahoma@#1Nebraska
1.0%
99%
0
37
✓
NEB −37.3
–
–
Final
North Carolina@NC State
65%
35%
30
28
✓
UNC −6.7
–
–
Final
Purdue@Indiana
66%
34%
51
14
✓
PUR −7.1
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@West Virginia
24%
76%
0
21
✓
WVU −10.7
–
–

Sat, Nov 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 14 games

Final
Air Force@Hawaii
78%
22%
45
28
✓
AF −12.9
–
–
Final
BYU@Fresno State
59%
41%
45
28
✓
BYU −4.1
–
–
Final
Colorado State@San Diego State
43%
57%
24
13
✗
SDSU −2.3
–
–
Final
#3Florida State@#2Florida
39%
61%
24
35
✓
FLA −4.0
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Illinois
37%
63%
3
3
✗
ILL −4.9
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Iowa
24%
76%
3
45
✓
IOWA −10.5
–
–
Final
#19Syracuse@#12Miami (FL)
33%
67%
24
35
✓
MIA −6.4
–
–
Final
#4Ohio State@#11Michigan
70%
30%
23
31
✗
OSU −9.1
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Mississippi State
48%
52%
13
10
✗
MSST −0.5
–
–
Final
#8Penn State@Michigan State
73%
27%
24
20
✓
PSU −10.4
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@#5Tennessee
1.2%
99%
7
12
✓
TENN −35.8
–
–
Final
#15Texas A&M@TCU
77%
23%
38
6
✓
TA&M −12.4
–
–
Final
#21Texas Tech@Houston
92%
7.9%
38
26
✓
TTU −23.0
–
–
Final
Wyoming@UTEP
89%
11%
42
19
✓
WYO −20.3
–
–