Week 8 slate, 1995
The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 51 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.
Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the
favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood
that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.
Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2
Chaos 33
Wilder than 33% of weeks in the archive.
15 upsets against 13.9 expected
- Biggest shockUAB over North Texas20% chance · won 19-14
- Runner-upKentucky over LSU25% chance · won 24-16
- Runner-upWest Virginia over Boston College26% chance · won 31-19
No games match.
Sat, Oct 14
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 49 games
Final
71%
29%
30
20
✓
AF −9.4
–
–
Final
50%
50%
21
29
✓
BYU −0.5
–
–
Final
25%
75%
6
13
✓
ARK −10.4
–
–
Final
53%
47%
10
30
✗
BGSU −1.7
–
–
Final
85%
15%
47
7
✓
BAY −16.9
–
–
Final
57%
43%
13
16
✗
USM −3.2
–
–
Final
39%
61%
19
14
✗
UTAH −3.9
–
–
Final
65%
35%
49
38
✓
FLA −6.7
–
–
Final
0.3%
>99%
13
72
✓
FSU −43.3
–
–
Final
78%
22%
17
6
✓
UGA −12.9
–
–
Final
52%
48%
25
27
✗
UNC −1.2
–
–
Final
16%
84%
13
22
✓
IOWA −15.5
–
–
Final
6.9%
93%
7
34
✓
KU −23.4
–
–
Final
90%
10%
23
17
✓
KSU −20.6
–
–
Final
75%
25%
16
24
✗
LSU −11.0
–
–
Final
27%
73%
26
43
✓
UL −9.1
–
–
Final
61%
39%
23
8
✓
MEM −4.9
–
–
Final
6.9%
93%
21
56
✓
MIA −23.3
–
–
Final
34%
66%
27
21
✗
ILL −6.0
–
–
Final
0.7%
99%
0
57
✓
NEB −39.5
–
–
Final
8.8%
91%
35
59
✓
NEV −21.2
–
–
Final
38%
62%
10
24
✓
UNM −4.4
–
–
Final
56%
44%
27
17
✓
NU −2.9
–
–
Final
88%
12%
28
27
✓
ND −19.1
–
–
Final
73%
27%
27
16
✓
OSU −10.3
–
–
Final
67%
33%
52
30
✓
ORE −7.5
–
–
Final
53%
47%
41
47
✗
LT −1.7
–
–
Final
71%
29%
26
23
✓
PSU −9.2
–
–
Final
39%
61%
24
48
✓
SDSU −3.9
–
–
Final
19%
82%
14
52
✓
SJSU −13.9
–
–
Final
50%
50%
65
39
✗
SC −0.3
–
–
Final
17%
83%
14
26
✓
USC −14.9
–
–
Final
15%
85%
24
52
✓
SYR −16.2
–
–
Final
69%
31%
27
29
✗
PITT −8.5
–
–
Final
54%
46%
41
14
✓
TENN −2.2
–
–
Final
36%
64%
24
24
✗
TEX −5.4
–
–
Final
1.4%
99%
17
20
✓
TA&M −35.2
–
–
Final
64%
36%
33
28
✓
TCU −6.0
–
–
Final
0.5%
>99%
25
63
✓
TTU −41.6
–
–
Final
45%
55%
28
28
✗
TOL −1.4
–
–
Final
62%
38%
38
28
✓
TLSA −5.6
–
–
Final
25%
75%
10
17
✓
UCLA −10.1
–
–
Final
58%
42%
7
42
✗
NIU −3.9
–
–
Final
8.7%
91%
30
44
✓
UVA −21.4
–
–
Final
2.2%
98%
27
77
✓
VT −32.0
–
–
Final
36%
64%
38
28
✗
STAN −5.3
–
–
Final
26%
74%
31
19
✗
BC −9.7
–
–
Final
72%
28%
34
17
✓
WMU −10.0
–
–
Final
44%
56%
20
27
✓
WYO −1.7
–
–
Against FCS opponents
| When | Game |
Model | Win |
|---|
| Sat, Oct 14 · TBD |
UAB at North Texas |
North Texas −13.3 |
80% |
| Sat, Oct 14 · TBD |
Central Michigan at Youngstown State |
Central Michigan −11.7 |
76% |