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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 12 slate, 1995

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 52 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 7

Wilder than 7% of weeks in the archive.

9 upsets against 12.0 expected

  • Biggest shockOklahoma State over Oklahoma20% chance · won 12-0
  • Runner-upWyoming over San Diego State25% chance · won 34-31
  • Runner-upArkansas State over Northern Illinois28% chance · won 28-21

Upsets

Thu, Nov 9

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#15Texas A&M@Rice
83%
17%
17
10
✓
TA&M −15.6
–
–

Sat, Nov 11

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 49 games

Final
Army@Air Force
30%
70%
20
38
✓
AF −7.9
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@#23Alabama
14%
86%
9
14
✓
ALA −17.1
–
–
Final
Arizona State@California
52%
48%
38
29
✓
ASU −1.2
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Arkansas
19%
81%
13
24
✓
ARK −13.4
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@Northern Illinois
28%
72%
28
21
✗
NIU −8.9
–
–
Final
#14Auburn@Georgia
63%
37%
37
31
✓
AUB −5.9
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Ball State
35%
65%
16
24
✓
BALL −5.8
–
–
Final
Baylor@SMU
84%
16%
48
7
✓
BAY −16.2
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Kent State
86%
14%
26
15
✓
BGSU −17.6
–
–
Final
BYU@New Mexico
62%
38%
31
14
✓
BYU −5.4
–
–
Final
Duke@Clemson
16%
84%
17
34
✓
CLEM −15.6
–
–
Final
Missouri@#6Colorado
2.0%
98%
0
21
✓
COLO −32.6
–
–
Final
Hawaii@Colorado State
14%
86%
0
22
✓
CSU −17.2
–
–
Final
Tulsa@East Carolina
14%
86%
7
28
✓
ECU −16.7
–
–
Final
#2Florida@South Carolina
89%
11%
63
7
✓
FLA −19.8
–
–
Final
#3Florida State@North Carolina
87%
13%
28
12
✓
FSU −18.4
–
–
Final
UTEP@Fresno State
7.8%
92%
14
47
✓
FRES −22.3
–
–
Final
NC State@Georgia Tech
28%
72%
19
27
✓
GT −9.0
–
–
Final
#7Kansas State@Iowa State
93%
6.8%
49
7
✓
KSU −24.2
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@Kentucky
65%
35%
14
33
✗
CIN −6.5
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@LSU
26%
74%
9
38
✓
LSU −9.8
–
–
Final
Louisiana-Monroe@Louisville
6.8%
93%
0
39
✓
LOU −23.5
–
–
Final
#11Miami (FL)@Boston College
76%
24%
17
14
✓
MIA −11.6
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Ohio
93%
7.4%
30
2
✓
M-OH −23.5
–
–
Final
Purdue@#10Michigan
17%
83%
0
5
✓
MICH −14.6
–
–
Final
Michigan State@Indiana
55%
45%
31
13
✓
MSU −2.6
–
–
Final
#1Nebraska@#22Kansas
87%
13%
41
3
✓
NEB −18.7
–
–
Final
Nevada@Pacific
89%
11%
45
29
✓
NEV −20.2
–
–
Final
Iowa@#12Northwestern
17%
83%
20
31
✓
NU −14.7
–
–
Final
#25Illinois@#4Ohio State
8.3%
92%
3
41
✓
OSU −21.8
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@OklahomaUpset
20%
80%
12
0
✗
OU −12.7
–
–
Final
#20Oregon@Arizona
59%
41%
17
13
✓
ORE −4.3
–
–
Final
Rutgers@Tulane
49%
51%
45
40
✗
RUTG −0.3
–
–
Final
San Jose State@New Mexico State
31%
69%
38
37
✗
NMSU −7.5
–
–
Final
#13USC@Oregon State
91%
9.4%
28
10
✓
USC −21.4
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Memphis
63%
37%
17
9
✓
USM −5.7
–
–
Final
Stanford@Washington State
50%
50%
36
24
✗
STAN −0.4
–
–
Final
Syracuse@Pittsburgh
67%
33%
42
10
✓
SYR −7.6
–
–
Final
#19Texas@Houston
91%
9.2%
52
20
✓
TEX −21.6
–
–
Final
TCU@#24Texas Tech
20%
80%
6
27
✓
TTU −13.1
–
–
Final
Akron@Toledo
1.8%
98%
7
41
✓
TOL −33.3
–
–
Final
Utah State@UNLV
79%
21%
42
0
✓
USU −13.2
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@Vanderbilt
34%
66%
6
29
✓
VAN −5.9
–
–
Final
#17Virginia@Maryland
73%
27%
21
18
✓
UVA −10.2
–
–
Final
Temple@#16Virginia Tech
4.2%
96%
16
38
✓
VT −27.3
–
–
Final
#21Washington@#18UCLA
38%
62%
38
14
✗
UCLA −4.2
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Eastern Michigan
42%
58%
23
13
✗
EMU −2.9
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Minnesota
57%
43%
34
27
✓
WIS −3.4
–
–
Final
Wyoming@San Diego StateUpset
25%
75%
34
31
✗
SDSU −10.4
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 11 · TBD Delaware at Navy Navy −9.2 73%
Sat, Nov 11 · TBD Idaho State at North Texas North Texas −13.0 80%