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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 14 slate, 1998

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 15 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 22

Wilder than 22% of weeks in the archive.

3 upsets against 4.0 expected

  • Biggest shockVirginia over Virginia Tech30% chance · won 36-32
  • Runner-upTexas over Texas A&M41% chance · won 26-24
  • Runner-upGeorgia Tech over Georgia45% chance · won 21-19

Upsets

Thu, Nov 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
Mississippi State@Ole Miss
54%
46%
28
6
✓
MSST −2.2
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@#22Tulane
17%
83%
30
63
✓
TULN −15.0
–
–

Fri, Nov 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 5 games

Final
Arizona State@#12Arizona
17%
83%
42
50
✓
ARIZ −15.0
–
–
Final
LSU@#21Arkansas
35%
65%
14
41
✓
ARK −5.7
–
–
Final
Colorado@#4Nebraska
9.2%
91%
14
16
✓
NEB −20.9
–
–
Final
#9Texas A&M@TexasUpset
59%
41%
24
26
✗
TA&M −4.0
–
–
Final
West Virginia@Pittsburgh
81%
19%
52
14
✓
WVU −14.3
–
–

Sat, Nov 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 8 games

Final
#23Georgia Tech@Georgia
45%
55%
21
19
✗
UGA −1.5
–
–
Final
#19Michigan@Hawaii
99%
1.0%
48
17
✓
MICH −37.7
–
–
Final
NC State@North Carolina
42%
58%
34
37
✓
UNC −2.9
–
–
Final
Michigan State@#17Penn State
30%
70%
28
51
✓
PSU −8.1
–
–
Final
#25Notre Dame@#13USC
30%
70%
0
10
✓
USC −7.7
–
–
Final
#18Miami (FL)@#16Syracuse
38%
62%
13
66
✓
SYR −4.3
–
–
Final
#5Tennessee@Vanderbilt
98%
2.5%
41
0
✓
TENN −31.8
–
–
Final
#20Virginia@#10Virginia Tech
30%
70%
36
32
✗
VT −7.9
–
–