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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 11 slate, 1998

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 49 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 58

Wilder than 58% of weeks in the archive.

9 upsets against 10.9 expected

  • Biggest shockMichigan State over Ohio State5.1% chance · won 28-24
  • Runner-upTemple over Pittsburgh16% chance · won 34-33
  • Runner-upAlabama over LSU18% chance · won 22-16

Upsets

Thu, Nov 5

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
East Carolina@Cincinnati
76%
24%
24
21
✓
ECU −11.6
–
–

Sat, Nov 7

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 48 games

Final
#13Air Force@Army
86%
14%
35
7
✓
AF −17.3
–
–
Final
Alabama@#18LSUUpset
18%
82%
22
16
✗
LSU −14.1
–
–
Final
Washington State@#12Arizona
6.8%
93%
7
41
✓
ARIZ −23.5
–
–
Final
California@Arizona State
34%
66%
22
55
✓
ASU −6.1
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Arkansas
26%
74%
0
34
✓
ARK −9.9
–
–
Final
UCF@Auburn
42%
58%
6
10
✓
AUB −2.8
–
–
Final
Boise State@New Mexico State
33%
67%
55
51
✗
NMSU −6.4
–
–
Final
Akron@Bowling Green
26%
74%
21
58
✓
BGSU −9.5
–
–
Final
New Mexico@BYU
12%
88%
21
46
✓
BYU −18.0
–
–
Final
#6Florida@Vanderbilt
96%
4.1%
45
13
✓
FLA −28.1
–
–
Final
#17Virginia@#2Florida State
14%
86%
14
45
✓
FSU −16.7
–
–
Final
Indiana@Illinois
75%
25%
16
31
✗
IU −11.2
–
–
Final
North Texas@Kansas
15%
85%
14
23
✓
KU −16.1
–
–
Final
#3Kansas State@Baylor
92%
7.6%
49
6
✓
KSU −23.3
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Kentucky
40%
60%
35
37
✓
UK −3.8
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@Arkansas State
78%
22%
69
21
✓
LT −12.7
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Louisiana-Monroe
19%
81%
24
34
✓
ULM −13.4
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Marshall
8.1%
92%
0
28
✓
MRSH −22.0
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Northern Illinois
91%
9.4%
41
10
✓
M-OH −21.5
–
–
Final
#8Penn State@#22Michigan
55%
45%
0
27
✗
PSU −2.6
–
–
Final
Michigan State@#1Ohio StateUpset
5.1%
95%
28
24
✗
OSU −25.8
–
–
Final
Colorado@#25Missouri
31%
70%
14
38
✓
MIZ −7.7
–
–
Final
#5Nebraska@Iowa State
92%
7.6%
42
7
✓
NEB −23.3
–
–
Final
Nevada@Utah State
57%
43%
26
21
✓
NEV −3.2
–
–
Final
Maryland@North Carolina
11%
89%
13
24
✓
UNC −19.2
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@NC State
17%
83%
27
38
✓
NCSU −14.8
–
–
Final
#24Notre Dame@Boston College
70%
30%
31
26
✓
ND −9.1
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Ohio
16%
84%
21
49
✓
OHIO −15.8
–
–
Final
Washington@#15Oregon
24%
76%
22
27
✓
ORE −10.8
–
–
Final
#19Purdue@Northwestern
80%
20%
56
21
✓
PUR −13.6
–
–
Final
Rice@TCU
43%
57%
14
12
✗
TCU −2.4
–
–
Final
Rutgers@NavyUpset
19%
81%
36
33
✗
NAVY −13.6
–
–
Final
Fresno State@San Diego State
46%
54%
0
10
✓
SDSU −0.9
–
–
Final
San Jose State@Hawaii
63%
37%
45
17
✓
SJSU −5.9
–
–
Final
#14USC@Stanford
82%
18%
34
9
✓
USC −15.0
–
–
Final
Tulsa@SMU
34%
66%
3
33
✓
SMU −6.1
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Houston
71%
29%
21
15
✓
USM −9.5
–
–
Final
Temple@PittsburghUpset
16%
84%
34
33
✗
PITT −15.2
–
–
Final
UAB@#4Tennessee
0.5%
>99%
13
37
✓
TENN −41.5
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@Texas
27%
73%
34
37
✓
TEX −9.4
–
–
Final
Oklahoma@#10Texas A&M
6.0%
94%
0
29
✓
TA&M −24.5
–
–
Final
#23Tulane@Memphis
82%
18%
41
31
✓
TULN −15.4
–
–
Final
#7UCLA@Oregon State
84%
16%
41
34
✓
UCLA −16.0
–
–
Final
UTEP@Utah
14%
86%
27
34
✓
UTAH −17.0
–
–
Final
#16Syracuse@West VirginiaUpset
50%
50%
28
35
✓
SYR −0.4
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Ball State
68%
32%
24
23
✓
WMU −8.1
–
–
Final
Minnesota@#9Wisconsin
7.0%
93%
7
26
✓
WIS −23.2
–
–
Final
Wyoming@Colorado StateUpset
24%
76%
27
19
✗
CSU −10.9
–
–