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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 2 slate, 1998

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 57 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3

Chaos 33

Wilder than 33% of weeks in the archive.

12 upsets against 14.3 expected

  • Biggest shockNorthern Iowa over Eastern Michigan3.2% chance · won 13-10
  • Runner-upSan Jose State over Stanford14% chance · won 35-23
  • Runner-upBoston College over Georgia Tech26% chance · won 41-31

Upsets

Thu, Sep 3

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 4 games

Final
Arizona@Hawaii
75%
25%
27
6
✓
ARIZ −11.0
–
–
Final
Ohio@NC State
37%
63%
31
34
✓
NCSU −4.4
–
–
Final
Virginia@#18AuburnUpset
33%
67%
19
0
✗
AUB −6.3
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Western Michigan
20%
80%
23
37
✓
WMU −12.7
–
–

Sat, Sep 5

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 39 games

Final
Wake Forest@Air Force
34%
66%
0
42
✓
AF −5.9
–
–
Final
BYU@Alabama
36%
64%
31
38
✓
ALA −4.9
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Arkansas
16%
84%
17
38
✓
ARK −14.7
–
–
Final
Boston College@Georgia Tech
26%
74%
41
31
✗
GT −9.6
–
–
Final
Houston@California
26%
74%
10
14
✓
CAL −9.3
–
–
Final
UCF@Louisiana Tech
72%
28%
64
30
✓
UCF −9.3
–
–
Final
Colorado State@#21Colorado
35%
65%
14
42
✓
COLO −5.5
–
–
Final
Kent State@#13Georgia
8.8%
91%
3
56
✓
UGA −20.6
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@#12Iowa
9.4%
91%
0
38
✓
IOWA −20.0
–
–
Final
Kentucky@Louisville
58%
42%
68
34
✓
UK −3.5
–
–
Final
Marshall@Akron
68%
32%
27
16
✓
MRSH −7.7
–
–
Final
#22Miami (OH)@#9North Carolina
30%
70%
13
10
✗
UNC −7.6
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@Minnesota
19%
81%
14
17
✓
MINN −12.9
–
–
Final
Memphis@Ole Miss
29%
72%
10
30
✓
MISS −8.3
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@Mississippi State
31%
68%
0
42
✓
MSST −6.9
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Missouri
22%
78%
0
37
✓
MIZ −11.5
–
–
Final
UAB@#2Nebraska
8.9%
91%
7
38
✓
NEB −20.5
–
–
Final
UNLV@Northwestern
24%
76%
7
41
✓
NU −10.5
–
–
Final
#4Michigan@#23Notre Dame
58%
42%
20
36
✗
MICH −3.8
–
–
Final
#3Ohio State@West Virginia
63%
37%
34
17
✓
OSU −5.6
–
–
Final
North Texas@Oklahoma
27%
73%
9
37
✓
OU −8.8
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@Kansas
54%
46%
38
28
✓
OKST −2.3
–
–
Final
Michigan State@#24Oregon
25%
75%
14
48
✓
ORE −10.1
–
–
Final
Nevada@Oregon State
49%
51%
6
48
✓
NEV −0.1
–
–
Final
#19Southern Miss@#17Penn State
38%
62%
6
34
✓
PSU −4.0
–
–
Final
SMU@Rice
38%
62%
17
23
✓
RICE −4.2
–
–
Final
San Jose State@StanfordUpset
14%
86%
35
23
✗
STAN −16.3
–
–
Final
Ball State@South Carolina
29%
71%
20
38
✓
SC −8.2
–
–
Final
#7Tennessee@#14Syracuse
48%
52%
34
33
✗
SYR −0.1
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@Texas
16%
84%
36
66
✓
TEX −15.1
–
–
Final
TCU@Iowa State
38%
62%
31
21
✗
ISU −4.2
–
–
Final
UTEP@Texas Tech
18%
82%
3
35
✓
TTU −13.6
–
–
Final
Temple@Toledo
26%
74%
12
24
✓
TOL −9.6
–
–
Final
Tulane@Cincinnati
46%
54%
52
34
✗
CIN −1.1
–
–
Final
Utah@Utah State
44%
56%
20
12
✗
USU −1.9
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Virginia Tech
30%
70%
3
38
✓
VT −7.8
–
–
Final
#5Washington@#11Arizona State
48%
52%
42
38
✗
ASU −0.2
–
–
Final
Illinois@#16Washington State
13%
87%
13
20
✓
WSU −17.3
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@San Diego State
48%
52%
26
14
✗
SDSU −0.4
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Thu, Sep 3 · TBD Northern Iowa at Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan −28.5 97%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Cal State Northridge at Boise State Boise State −15.6 85%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Furman at #25 Clemson Clemson −27.3 96%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Western Carolina at Duke Duke −19.4 90%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD The Citadel at #1 Florida Florida −41.6 >99%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Eastern Washington at Idaho Idaho −11.3 78%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Indiana State at #8 Kansas State Kansas State −56.0 >99%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Nicholls at Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe −26.4 96%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD James Madison at Maryland Maryland −10.6 76%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD East Tennessee State at #20 Miami (FL) Miami (FL) −29.1 97%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Idaho State at New Mexico New Mexico −44.9 >99%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Villanova at Pittsburgh Pittsburgh −21.5 92%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Richmond at Rutgers Rutgers −14.6 84%
Sat, Sep 5 · TBD Missouri State at Tulsa Tulsa −6.2 67%