The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 13 slate, 1998

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 52 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 10

Wilder than 10% of weeks in the archive.

10 upsets against 12.9 expected

  • Biggest shockEastern Michigan over Toledo21% chance · won 10-7
  • Runner-upOregon State over Oregon24% chance · won 44-41
  • Runner-upStanford over California28% chance · won 10-3

Upsets

Thu, Nov 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Pittsburgh@#18Miami (FL)
5.8%
94%
10
38
✓
MIA −24.7
–
–

Sat, Nov 21

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 47 games

Final
Rice@#12Air Force
7.9%
92%
16
22
✓
AF −22.2
–
–
Final
Auburn@Alabama
39%
61%
17
31
✓
ALA −4.0
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Northern Illinois
73%
27%
34
23
✓
BGSU −10.4
–
–
Final
BYU@Utah
41%
59%
26
24
✗
UTAH −3.2
–
–
Final
New Mexico@UCF
6.7%
93%
6
38
✓
UCF −23.6
–
–
Final
Ball State@Central Michigan
27%
73%
21
31
✓
CMU −9.4
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@Arkansas State
45%
55%
51
7
✗
ARST −1.6
–
–
Final
South Carolina@Clemson
29%
71%
19
28
✓
CLEM −8.2
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Memphis
51%
49%
34
31
✓
ECU −0.8
–
–
Final
Toledo@Eastern MichiganUpset
79%
21%
7
10
✗
TOL −13.2
–
–
Final
#6Florida@#2Florida State
24%
76%
12
23
✓
FSU −10.6
–
–
Final
San Jose State@Fresno State
13%
87%
21
24
✓
FRES −17.2
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Georgia
21%
79%
17
24
✓
UGA −12.5
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@#25Georgia Tech
11%
89%
35
63
✓
GT −19.0
–
–
Final
Idaho@Boise State
49%
51%
36
35
✗
Idaho −0.1
–
–
Final
Kansas@Iowa State
45%
55%
20
23
✓
ISU −1.6
–
–
Final
#3Kansas State@#23Missouri
73%
27%
31
25
✓
KSU −10.3
–
–
Final
Army@Louisville
25%
75%
23
35
✓
LOU −10.1
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Akron
86%
14%
20
14
✓
M-OH −17.7
–
–
Final
Illinois@Michigan State
4.8%
95%
9
41
✓
MSU −26.2
–
–
Final
Iowa@Minnesota
41%
59%
7
49
✓
MINN −3.1
–
–
Final
#21Arkansas@Mississippi StateUpset
50%
50%
21
22
✗
ARK −0.6
–
–
Final
North Carolina@Duke
64%
36%
28
6
✓
UNC −6.3
–
–
Final
NC State@Maryland
72%
28%
35
21
✓
NCSU −9.6
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@North Texas
38%
62%
11
19
✓
UNT −4.2
–
–
Final
Northwestern@Hawaii
82%
18%
47
21
✓
NU −14.8
–
–
Final
#24LSU@#22Notre Dame
38%
62%
36
39
✓
ND −4.6
–
–
Final
Ohio@Kent State
91%
8.7%
31
21
✓
OHIO −22.2
–
–
Final
#16Michigan@#1Ohio State
14%
86%
16
31
✓
OSU −16.7
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@Oklahoma
67%
33%
17
20
✗
TTU −7.5
–
–
Final
Baylor@Oklahoma State
18%
82%
10
24
✓
OKST −14.4
–
–
Final
#10Oregon@Oregon StateUpset
76%
24%
41
44
✗
ORE −11.8
–
–
Final
Indiana@#17Purdue
11%
89%
7
52
✓
PUR −19.2
–
–
Final
UTEP@San Diego State
17%
83%
29
34
✓
SDSU −14.5
–
–
Final
SMU@Navy
55%
45%
24
11
✓
SMU −2.4
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Nevada
70%
30%
55
28
✓
USM −8.7
–
–
Final
Stanford@California
28%
72%
10
3
✗
CAL −8.9
–
–
Final
#19Syracuse@Temple
94%
6.3%
38
7
✓
SYR −24.9
–
–
Final
Kentucky@#5Tennessee
15%
86%
21
59
✓
TENN −16.5
–
–
Final
TCU@UNLV
70%
30%
41
18
✓
TCU −8.8
–
–
Final
Houston@Tulane
9.6%
90%
20
48
✓
TULN −20.4
–
–
Final
Wyoming@Tulsa
71%
29%
0
35
✗
WYO −9.4
–
–
Final
#9USC@#7UCLA
30%
70%
17
34
✓
UCLA −7.8
–
–
Final
Rutgers@#14Virginia Tech
1.2%
99%
7
47
✓
VT −35.8
–
–
Final
Washington@Washington State
70%
30%
16
9
✓
WASH −9.1
–
–
Final
Boston College@West Virginia
16%
84%
10
35
✓
WVU −15.7
–
–
Final
#15Penn State@#13Wisconsin
38%
62%
3
24
✓
WIS −4.2
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD UT Martin at UAB UAB −11.4 77%
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD Western Kentucky at Louisiana Western Kentucky −2.4 55%
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD Portland State at Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe −29.7 97%
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD Wofford at Marshall Marshall −29.7 97%