The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 12 slate, 1998

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 52 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 1

Wilder than 1% of weeks in the archive.

8 upsets against 12.9 expected

  • Biggest shockMaryland over Duke26% chance · won 42-25
  • Runner-upCincinnati over Houston28% chance · won 44-43
  • Runner-upOklahoma over Baylor38% chance · won 28-16

Thu, Nov 12

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#22Georgia Tech@Clemson
70%
30%
24
21
✓
GT −9.0
–
–

Sat, Nov 14

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 49 games

Final
#11Air Force@Wyoming
69%
31%
10
3
✓
AF −8.6
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Akron
24%
76%
21
24
✓
AKR −10.6
–
–
Final
#10Arizona@California
77%
23%
27
23
✓
ARIZ −12.3
–
–
Final
Louisiana-Monroe@Arkansas State
48%
52%
13
17
✓
ARST −0.5
–
–
Final
Boston College@Pittsburgh
46%
54%
23
15
✗
PITT −1.0
–
–
Final
BYU@UTEP
74%
26%
31
14
✓
BYU −10.6
–
–
Final
Ball State@UCF
2.8%
97%
14
37
✓
UCF −30.2
–
–
Final
Houston@Cincinnati
72%
28%
43
44
✗
HOU −9.9
–
–
Final
Iowa State@Colorado
17%
84%
8
37
✓
COLO −15.1
–
–
Final
Colorado State@SMU
62%
38%
32
10
✓
CSU −5.5
–
–
Final
South Carolina@#6Florida
2.5%
98%
14
33
✓
FLA −31.1
–
–
Final
#1Florida State@Wake Forest
95%
4.7%
24
7
✓
FSU −27.2
–
–
Final
Hawaii@Fresno State
3.8%
96%
12
51
✓
FRES −28.1
–
–
Final
Georgia@Auburn
48%
52%
28
17
✗
AUB −0.2
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@Idaho
28%
72%
32
36
✓
Idaho −8.8
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Indiana
36%
64%
19
20
✓
IU −5.1
–
–
Final
#4Nebraska@#3Kansas State
33%
67%
30
40
✓
KSU −6.4
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@Kentucky
6.8%
93%
17
55
✓
UK −23.5
–
–
Final
Louisville@East Carolina
40%
60%
63
45
✗
ECU −3.7
–
–
Final
Maryland@Duke
26%
74%
42
25
✗
DUKE −9.6
–
–
Final
#19Miami (FL)@Temple
91%
8.6%
42
7
✓
MIA −22.3
–
–
Final
Kent State@Miami (OH)
0.3%
>99%
0
56
✓
M-OH −43.2
–
–
Final
#8Wisconsin@#18Michigan
50%
50%
10
27
✓
WIS −0.3
–
–
Final
Alabama@Mississippi State
33%
67%
14
26
✓
MSST −6.5
–
–
Final
#25Notre Dame@Navy
83%
17%
30
0
✓
ND −15.5
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Ohio
11%
89%
12
28
✓
OHIO −18.9
–
–
Final
#2Ohio State@Iowa
91%
8.8%
45
14
✓
OSU −22.1
–
–
Final
Oklahoma@Baylor
38%
62%
28
16
✗
BAY −4.4
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Oklahoma State
1.3%
99%
20
44
✓
OKST −35.3
–
–
Final
Arizona State@#15Oregon
21%
79%
19
51
✓
ORE −12.2
–
–
Final
Northwestern@#14Penn State
5.3%
95%
10
41
✓
PSU −25.6
–
–
Final
#16Purdue@Michigan State
51%
49%
25
24
✓
PUR −0.9
–
–
Final
UNLV@Rice
13%
87%
16
38
✓
RICE −17.8
–
–
Final
San Diego State@San Jose State
60%
40%
34
6
✓
SDSU −4.7
–
–
Final
Memphis@Southern Miss
7.8%
92%
3
45
✓
USM −22.3
–
–
Final
Washington State@Stanford
41%
59%
28
38
✓
STAN −3.3
–
–
Final
#13Virginia Tech@#17Syracuse
45%
55%
26
28
✓
SYR −1.5
–
–
Final
#21Arkansas@#5Tennessee
19%
81%
24
28
✓
TENN −13.5
–
–
Final
#23Missouri@#9Texas A&M
26%
74%
14
17
✓
TA&M −10.0
–
–
Final
TCU@Tulsa
47%
53%
17
7
✗
TLSA −0.8
–
–
Final
Texas@Texas Tech
43%
57%
35
42
✓
TTU −2.5
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Toledo
10%
90%
14
17
✓
TOL −19.7
–
–
Final
Tulane@Army
79%
21%
49
35
✓
TULN −13.1
–
–
Final
#7UCLA@Washington
65%
35%
36
24
✓
UCLA −6.5
–
–
Final
Utah@New Mexico
71%
29%
41
7
✓
UTAH −9.2
–
–
Final
North Texas@Utah State
27%
73%
27
28
✓
USU −9.4
–
–
Final
North Carolina@#20Virginia
23%
77%
13
30
✓
UVA −11.5
–
–
Final
West Virginia@Rutgers
91%
8.9%
28
14
✓
WVU −21.9
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Western Michigan
53%
47%
27
56
✗
BGSU −1.8
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD Middle Tennessee at UAB UAB −13.3 80%
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD Cal Poly at Nevada Nevada −28.2 96%