The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 7 slate, 1998

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 53 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 45

Wilder than 45% of weeks in the archive.

14 upsets against 14.2 expected

  • Biggest shockNew Mexico State over Nevada16% chance · won 48-45
  • Runner-upCalifornia over USC16% chance · won 32-31
  • Runner-upDuke over Wake Forest28% chance · won 19-16

Upsets

Thu, Oct 8

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#5Virginia Tech@Boston College
79%
21%
17
0
✓
VT −13.2
–
–

Fri, Oct 9

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Hawaii@San Diego State
9.0%
91%
13
35
✓
SDSU −22.3
–
–

Sat, Oct 10

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 51 games

Final
Navy@#15Air Force
8.7%
91%
7
49
✓
AF −22.7
–
–
Final
Akron@Kent State
76%
24%
45
16
✓
AKR −11.6
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Alabama
43%
57%
17
20
✓
ALA −3.0
–
–
Final
Arkansas@Memphis
80%
20%
23
9
✓
ARK −14.1
–
–
Final
Army@Houston
35%
65%
38
28
✗
HOU −6.3
–
–
Final
Kansas@Baylor
27%
73%
24
31
✓
BAY −10.4
–
–
Final
UNLV@BYU
4.7%
95%
14
38
✓
BYU −27.9
–
–
Final
California@#20USCUpset
16%
84%
32
31
✗
USC −16.5
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@UCF
1.3%
99%
17
38
✓
UCF −36.9
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Eastern Michigan
32%
68%
36
23
✗
EMU −8.0
–
–
Final
Maryland@Clemson
24%
76%
0
23
✓
CLEM −11.8
–
–
Final
Tulsa@Colorado State
15%
85%
7
34
✓
CSU −17.4
–
–
Final
Duke@Wake Forest
28%
72%
19
16
✗
WAKE −9.7
–
–
Final
UAB@East Carolina
24%
76%
7
26
✓
ECU −11.7
–
–
Final
#12LSU@#8Florida
34%
66%
10
22
✓
FLA −7.2
–
–
Final
#3Florida State@#17Miami (FL)
57%
43%
26
14
✓
FSU −2.6
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@#24NC StateUpset
36%
64%
47
24
✗
NCSU −5.8
–
–
Final
Idaho@Arkansas State
30%
70%
52
14
✗
ARST −8.9
–
–
Final
Northwestern@Iowa
16%
84%
24
26
✓
IOWA −16.7
–
–
Final
#6Kansas State@#23Colorado
56%
44%
16
9
✓
KSU −2.4
–
–
Final
South Carolina@Kentucky
17%
83%
28
33
✓
UK −15.8
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@Louisiana-Monroe
73%
27%
44
14
✓
LT −9.9
–
–
Final
Marshall@Ohio
69%
31%
30
23
✓
MRSH −8.2
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Miami (OH)
11%
89%
12
24
✓
M-OH −20.2
–
–
Final
Indiana@Michigan State
27%
73%
31
38
✓
MSU −10.1
–
–
Final
Auburn@Mississippi State
31%
69%
21
38
✓
MSST −8.5
–
–
Final
Missouri@Iowa State
60%
40%
35
19
✓
MIZ −4.2
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@NevadaUpset
16%
84%
48
45
✗
NEV −16.9
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@North Carolina
30%
70%
10
29
✓
UNC −8.9
–
–
Final
North Texas@Boise State
35%
65%
21
13
✗
BOIS −6.6
–
–
Final
Notre Dame@Arizona State
40%
60%
28
9
✗
ASU −4.4
–
–
Final
#2Ohio State@Illinois
97%
2.6%
41
0
✓
OSU −32.1
–
–
Final
#9Oregon@Washington State
71%
29%
51
29
✓
ORE −9.2
–
–
Final
Oregon State@Stanford
57%
43%
30
23
✓
ORST −3.0
–
–
Final
#10Penn State@Minnesota
79%
21%
27
17
✓
PSU −13.3
–
–
Final
Rice@San Jose State
59%
41%
17
20
✗
RICE −3.8
–
–
Final
Louisville@Southern Miss
27%
73%
21
56
✓
USM −10.2
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@#19Syracuse
2.1%
98%
21
63
✓
SYR −33.7
–
–
Final
#7Tennessee@#13Georgia
48%
52%
22
3
✗
UGA −0.9
–
–
Final
Oklahoma@Texas
27%
73%
3
34
✓
TEX −10.4
–
–
Final
#1Nebraska@#16Texas A&M
70%
30%
21
28
✗
NEB −8.7
–
–
Final
Fresno State@TCU
50%
50%
10
21
✓
TCU −0.2
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@Texas Tech
37%
63%
17
24
✓
TTU −5.8
–
–
Final
UTEP@New Mexico
35%
65%
22
19
✗
UNM −6.6
–
–
Final
Ball State@Toledo
8.4%
92%
6
27
✓
TOL −23.0
–
–
Final
#4UCLA@#11Arizona
50%
50%
52
28
✓
PK
–
–
Final
Utah State@Washington
12%
88%
12
53
✓
WASH −19.4
–
–
Final
#25West Virginia@Temple
90%
9.9%
37
7
✓
WVU −21.3
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Vanderbilt
44%
56%
27
24
✗
VAN −2.5
–
–
Final
#22Purdue@#14Wisconsin
34%
66%
24
31
✓
WIS −6.7
–
–
Final
SMU@Wyoming
26%
74%
7
12
✓
WYO −11.0
–
–