The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 8 slate, 1998

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 50 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 72

Wilder than 72% of weeks in the archive.

7 upsets against 11.3 expected

  • Biggest shockTemple over Virginia Tech0.4% chance · won 28-24
  • Runner-upRutgers over Pittsburgh6.4% chance · won 25-21
  • Runner-upKentucky over LSU21% chance · won 39-36

Upsets

Sat, Oct 17

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 47 games

Final
East Carolina@Alabama
32%
68%
22
23
✓
ALA −6.8
–
–
Final
#20Arizona@Oregon State
65%
35%
28
7
✓
ARIZ −6.5
–
–
Final
Arkansas@South Carolina
65%
35%
41
28
✓
ARK −6.6
–
–
Final
BYU@Hawaii
90%
9.6%
31
9
✓
BYU −21.3
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@Colorado
36%
64%
17
19
✓
COLO −5.2
–
–
Final
Colorado State@New Mexico State
88%
12%
47
28
✓
CSU −19.4
–
–
Final
Auburn@#9Florida
14%
86%
3
24
✓
FLA −17.2
–
–
Final
Clemson@#4Florida State
5.6%
94%
0
48
✓
FSU −25.1
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@#24Georgia
3.5%
96%
6
31
✓
UGA −28.6
–
–
Final
#17Virginia@#13Georgia Tech
34%
66%
38
41
✓
GT −6.1
–
–
Final
Idaho@Utah State
26%
74%
26
14
✗
USU −9.8
–
–
Final
Iowa@Indiana
43%
57%
7
14
✓
IU −2.5
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@#7Kansas State
14%
86%
20
52
✓
KSU −16.7
–
–
Final
Kentucky@#16LSUUpset
21%
79%
39
36
✗
LSU −12.2
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@Louisiana
59%
41%
19
21
✗
ARST −4.0
–
–
Final
UAB@Louisiana Tech
18%
82%
23
54
✓
LT −14.5
–
–
Final
Kent State@Marshall
0.5%
>99%
7
42
✓
MRSH −41.2
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@Memphis
27%
73%
23
41
✓
MEM −9.3
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Ball State
90%
9.6%
28
17
✓
M-OH −21.3
–
–
Final
#18Michigan@Northwestern
77%
23%
12
6
✓
MICH −12.1
–
–
Final
Oklahoma@Missouri
16%
84%
6
20
✓
MIZ −15.4
–
–
Final
Kansas@#2Nebraska
1.5%
98%
0
41
✓
NEB −34.6
–
–
Final
Duke@NC State
14%
86%
24
27
✓
NCSU −16.5
–
–
Final
Nevada@North Texas
55%
45%
21
27
✗
NEV −2.5
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Northern Illinois
63%
37%
6
16
✗
CMU −5.6
–
–
Final
Akron@Ohio
36%
64%
14
28
✓
OHIO −5.4
–
–
Final
Minnesota@#1Ohio State
1.1%
99%
15
45
✓
OSU −36.5
–
–
Final
#21Purdue@#10Penn State
27%
73%
13
31
✓
PSU −9.4
–
–
Final
Tulsa@Rice
36%
64%
10
14
✓
RICE −5.3
–
–
Final
Rutgers@PittsburghUpset
6.4%
94%
25
21
✗
PITT −24.1
–
–
Final
San Diego State@New Mexico
53%
47%
36
33
✓
SDSU −1.5
–
–
Final
#25USC@Washington State
63%
37%
42
14
✓
USC −5.6
–
–
Final
TCU@SMU
38%
62%
6
10
✓
SMU −4.5
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Army
66%
34%
37
13
✓
USM −7.2
–
–
Final
#15Syracuse@Boston College
72%
28%
42
25
✓
SYR −9.7
–
–
Final
Temple@#6Virginia TechUpset
0.4%
>99%
28
24
✗
VT −42.7
–
–
Final
#11Texas A&M@Baylor
74%
26%
35
14
✓
TA&M −10.5
–
–
Final
San Jose State@UTEP
30%
70%
21
28
✓
UTEP −7.7
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Toledo
21%
79%
16
24
✓
TOL −12.2
–
–
Final
Louisville@Tulane
9.8%
90%
22
28
✓
TULN −20.2
–
–
Final
#8Oregon@#3UCLA
26%
74%
38
41
✓
UCLA −9.7
–
–
Final
Fresno State@Utah
35%
65%
16
24
✓
UTAH −5.5
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@Maryland
51%
49%
20
10
✓
WAKE −0.9
–
–
Final
California@#19Washington
18%
82%
13
21
✓
WASH −14.2
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Western Michigan
25%
75%
35
45
✓
WMU −10.5
–
–
Final
#14Wisconsin@Illinois
91%
9.1%
37
3
✓
WIS −21.8
–
–
Final
Wyoming@UNLV
84%
16%
28
25
✓
WYO −16.7
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 17 · TBD Weber State at Boise State Boise State −22.3 92%
Sat, Oct 17 · TBD East Tennessee State at Mississippi State Mississippi State −44.4 >99%
Sat, Oct 17 · TBD Colgate at Navy Navy −22.0 92%