The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 14 slate, 1986

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 15 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 55

Wilder than 55% of weeks in the archive.

5 upsets against 4.6 expected

  • Biggest shockRice over Houston28% chance · won 14-13
  • Runner-upFlorida over Florida State28% chance · won 17-13
  • Runner-upSan Diego State over BYU42% chance · won 10-3

Thu, Nov 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
East Carolina@#1Miami (FL)
0.2%
>99%
10
36
✓
MIA −46.8
–
–
Final
#15Texas A&M@Texas
68%
32%
16
3
✓
TA&M −7.8
–
–

Fri, Nov 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Maryland@Virginia
77%
23%
42
10
✓
MD −12.2
–
–

Sat, Nov 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 11 games

Final
#8Alabama@#7Auburn
40%
60%
17
21
✓
AUB −3.3
–
–
Final
#21Florida@#13Florida State
28%
72%
17
13
✗
FSU −8.8
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@#20Georgia
26%
74%
24
31
✓
UGA −9.6
–
–
Final
Wyoming@Hawaii
45%
55%
19
35
✓
HAW −1.6
–
–
Final
Pacific@Long Beach State
37%
63%
21
38
✓
Long Beach State −4.9
–
–
Final
Tulane@#11LSU
1.9%
98%
17
37
✓
LSU −33.0
–
–
Final
#16Notre Dame@#22USC
49%
51%
38
37
✗
PK
–
–
Final
Rice@Houston
28%
72%
14
13
✗
HOU −8.9
–
–
Final
BYU@San Diego State
58%
42%
3
10
✗
BYU −3.6
–
–
Final
Tennessee@Vanderbilt
81%
19%
35
20
✓
TENN −14.3
–
–
Final
Utah@UTEP
45%
55%
44
55
✓
UTEP −1.3
–
–

Sun, Nov 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#14Arizona@#24Stanford
56%
44%
24
29
✗
ARIZ −3.0
–
–