The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 1986

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 18 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

Chaos 13

Wilder than 13% of weeks in the archive.

6 upsets against 6.3 expected

  • Biggest shockPenn State over Miami (FL)31% chance · won 14-10
  • Runner-upBoston College over Georgia41% chance · won 27-24
  • Runner-upSan Jose State over Miami (OH)41% chance · won 37-7

Upsets

Sat, Dec 13

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Miami (OH)vsSan Jose State
59%
41%
7
37
✗
M-OH −4.2
–
–

Sat, Dec 20

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Texas TechvsOle Miss
40%
60%
17
20
✓
MISS −3.4
–
–

Tue, Dec 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#20GeorgiavsBoston CollegeUpset
59%
41%
24
27
✗
UGA −4.3
–
–

Thu, Dec 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#6Washingtonvs#8Alabama
52%
48%
6
28
✗
WASH −1.3
–
–

Sat, Dec 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
North Carolinavs#14Arizona
19%
80%
21
30
✓
ARIZ −13.3
–
–
Final
#22StanfordvsClemsonUpset
54%
46%
21
27
✗
STAN −2.1
–
–

Mon, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
MinnesotavsTennessee
38%
62%
14
21
✓
TENN −4.2
–
–

Tue, Dec 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
#16IowavsSan Diego State
76%
24%
39
38
✓
IOWA −11.8
–
–
Final
#25BYUvs#10UCLA
26%
74%
10
31
✓
UCLA −9.7
–
–

Wed, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
Coloradovs#21Baylor
39%
61%
9
21
✓
BAY −4.0
–
–
Final
Indianavs#13Florida State
21%
79%
13
27
✓
FSU −12.2
–
–
Final
NC StatevsVirginia Tech
48%
52%
24
25
✓
VT −0.2
–
–

Thu, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 5 games

Final
#5Michiganvs#9Arizona State
53%
47%
15
22
✗
MICH −1.8
–
–
Final
#23USCvs#7Auburn
28%
72%
7
16
✓
AUB −9.1
–
–
Final
#11LSUvs#3Nebraska
37%
63%
15
30
✓
NEB −4.7
–
–
Final
#15Texas A&Mvs#12Ohio State
45%
55%
12
28
✓
OSU −1.4
–
–
Final
#18Arkansasvs#1Oklahoma
14%
86%
8
42
✓
OU −17.2
–
–

Fri, Jan 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#2Miami (FL)vs#4Penn State
69%
31%
10
14
✗
MIA −8.4
–
–