The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 1994

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 20 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 27

Wilder than 27% of weeks in the archive.

5 upsets against 7.1 expected

  • Biggest shockUNLV over Central Michigan22% chance · won 52-24
  • Runner-upNC State over Mississippi State37% chance · won 28-24
  • Runner-upAlabama over Ohio State38% chance · won 24-17

Upsets

Sat, Dec 3

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#22Alabamavs#2Florida
15%
85%
23
24
✓
FLA −16.2
–
–

Thu, Dec 15

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Central MichiganvsUNLVUpset
78%
22%
24
52
✗
CMU −12.9
–
–

Sun, Dec 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#15Kansas Statevs#14Boston College
49%
51%
7
12
✓
BC −0.1
–
–

Tue, Dec 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#24Arizonavs#20Utah
46%
54%
13
16
✓
UTAH −1.2
–
–

Wed, Dec 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
TCUvs#18Virginia
21%
79%
10
20
✓
UVA −12.4
–
–

Thu, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
OklahomavsBYU
56%
44%
6
31
✗
OU −3.1
–
–

Fri, Dec 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
Colorado Statevs#9Michigan
29%
71%
14
24
✓
MICH −8.2
–
–
Final
#21Virginia Techvs#10Tennessee
37%
63%
23
45
✓
TENN −4.9
–
–
Final
North CarolinavsTexas
49%
51%
31
35
✓
UNC −0.2
–
–

Sat, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
East Carolinavs#16Illinois
26%
74%
0
30
✓
ILL −9.8
–
–
Final
Baylorvs#23Washington State
33%
67%
3
10
✓
WSU −6.4
–
–

Sun, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
#4Nebraskavs#5Miami (FL)
51%
49%
24
17
✓
NEB −0.8
–
–
Final
Mississippi StatevsNC State
63%
37%
24
28
✗
MSST −5.9
–
–

Mon, Jan 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 7 games

Final
#8Ohio Statevs#22Alabama
62%
38%
17
24
✗
OSU −5.4
–
–
Final
#12Notre Damevs#6Colorado
33%
67%
24
41
✓
COLO −6.6
–
–
Final
#2Floridavs#3Florida State
49%
51%
17
23
✓
FLA −0.2
–
–
Final
#25Oregonvs#1Penn State
14%
86%
20
38
✓
PSU −17.0
–
–
Final
West VirginiavsSouth Carolina
51%
49%
21
24
✗
WVU −0.8
–
–
Final
Texas Techvs#13USC
39%
61%
14
55
✓
USC −3.8
–
–
Final
Dukevs#17Wisconsin
34%
66%
20
34
✓
WIS −6.0
–
–