Week 12 slate, 1994
The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 54 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.
Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.
Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2
Chaos 44
Wilder than 44% of weeks in the archive.
13 upsets against 12.6 expected
- Biggest shockUTEP over Fresno State11% chance · won 30-30
- Runner-upBoston University over Army17% chance · won 21-12
- Runner-upCentral Michigan over Bowling Green19% chance · won 36-33
Upsets
- Utah 33, Air Force 40#14 Utah lost to unranked Air Force
- Central Michigan 36, Bowling Green 33Central Michigan won; the model gave them 19% before kickoff
- Washington State 3, Oregon State 21#22 Washington State lost to unranked Oregon State
No games match.
Thu, Nov 10
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 1 game
Sat, Nov 12
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 49 games
Against FCS opponents
| When | Game | Model | Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 12 · TBD | Boston University at |
Army −14.8 | 83% |
| Sat, Nov 12 · TBD | UCF at |
East Carolina −16.7 | 86% |
| Sat, Nov 12 · TBD | Southeast Missouri State at |
Hawaii −24.1 | 94% |
| Sat, Nov 12 · TBD | Missouri State at |
Tulsa −7.9 | 70% |